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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Pannie Kianzad won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1495

Pannie KianzadvsAlexis DavisUFC Prediction Result

UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Saturday, June 12, 2021Glendale, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Pannie Kianzad won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPannie Kianzad: Pressure fightervsAlexis Davis: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Pannie Kianzad wins(69.4%)

Actual result: Pannie Kianzad wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pannie Kianzad at -240 American odds

+$42 profit

$142 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pannie Kianzad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Pannie Kianzad has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Pannie Kianzad

Red Corner

Alexis Davis

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+187

(35%)

1491

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pannie KianzadL3 streak

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Sep 21

vs Lina Lansberg · Apr 22

vs Ketlen Vieira · Jul 23

SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Mar 24

vs Karol Rosa · Aug 24

latest

Alexis DavisW2 streak

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jul 18

vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 19

vs Viviane Araujo · Jul 19

vs Sabina Mazo · Feb 21

vs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pannie KianzadMetricAlexis Davis

4.88

Strikes / min

4.63

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

4.45

51%

Strike defense

54%

0.41

TDs / 15 min

0.95

65%

Takedown defense

34%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79evenly matched on net striking+0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pannie KianzadAlexis Davis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pannie Kianzad(10 fights)Alexis Davis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.3|Blue +4.3

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pannie KianzadTargetAlexis Davis

By target zone

47% acc · 80%

Head

45% acc · 72%

63% acc · 19%

Body

80% acc · 9%

100% acc · 1%

Leg

100% acc · 19%

By position

122

50% acc · 98%

Distance

125

52% acc · 95%

67% acc · 2%

Clinch

78% acc · 5%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pannie Kianzad rounds

even

Alexis Davis rounds

Round 1Pannie Kianzad edged it

Sig. strikes49

Takedowns0

Control0:05

42Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

44Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 3Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:00

46Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

124 / 249

Sig Strikes

132 / 251

49.3%

Sig Str %

52.3%

124 / 249

Total Strikes

147 / 268

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alexis Davis	42 / 84	50 / 93	0 / 0
1	Pannie Kianzad	49 / 82	49 / 82	0 / 0
2	Alexis Davis	44 / 82	50 / 89	1 / 1
2	Pannie Kianzad	37 / 83	37 / 83	0 / 0
3	Alexis Davis	46 / 85	47 / 86	0 / 0
3	Pannie Kianzad	38 / 84	38 / 84	0 / 0

Pannie Kianzad

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights11

Alexis Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14