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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Paddy Holohan won · Submission R1
Elo1490
Paddy Holohan
Elo1355

Paddy HolohanvsJoshua SampoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · Saturday, July 19, 2014Dublin, Leinster, Ireland

Official fight result

Paddy Holohan won

Submission · Round 1 · 3:06

Model Prediction: Joshua Sampo wins(77.3%)

Actual result: Paddy Holohan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joshua Sampo at -245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Joshua Sampo threatens submissions; Paddy Holohan has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Paddy Holohan has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Paddy Holohan
Red Corner
VS
Joshua Sampo
Blue Corner
+225
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
1490
Elo
1355
38
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'4"
175.26 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Paddy Holohan
oldest →
L
vs Chris Kelades · Oct 14
W
vs Shane Howell · Jan 15
W
vs Vaughan Lee · Jul 15
L
SUBvs Louis Smolka · Oct 15
latest
Joshua SampoL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Ryan Benoit · Nov 13
L
DECvs Zach Makovsky · Feb 14
L
DECvs Justin Scoggins · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Paddy HolohanMetricJoshua Sampo
2.13
Strikes / min
—
2.81
Strikes absorbed / min
—
46%
Strike defense
—
2.88
TDs / 15 min
—
71%
Takedown defense
—
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes— vs 23.5Takedowns— vs 1.0Sub Atts— vs 2.50Form0.0 vs -0.1
Paddy HolohanJoshua Sampo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Paddy Holohan(5 fights)Joshua Sampo(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +135.8|Blue -135.8
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Grappler Score
Red +49.1|Blue -49.1
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Paddy Holohan

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5

Joshua Sampo

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights2