Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Ovince Saint Preux won · SUB R1
Elo1497
Elo1491
Yushin Okami

Ovince Saint PreuxvsYushin OkamiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · Friday, September 22, 2017Saitama, Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Ovince Saint Preux won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:50

Model Prediction: Yushin Okami wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Ovince Saint Preux wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yushin Okami at +345 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Yushin Okami has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Yushin Okami has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Ovince Saint Preux has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux
Red Corner
VS
Yushin Okami
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+345
(22%)
1497
Elo
1491
43
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'2"
203.2 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →
L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21
W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22
L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23
W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24
latest
Yushin Okami
oldest →
W
vs Alan Belcher · Dec 12
W
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 13
L
KOvs Jacare Souza · Sep 13
W
vs Dhiego Lima · Apr 18
L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Dec 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricYushin Okami
3.03
Strikes / min
2.06
3.33
Strikes absorbed / min
2.25
47%
Strike defense
60%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
1.98
67%
Takedown defense
84%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1537 vs 1550Strikes28.2 vs 27.1Takedowns0.7 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.23 vs 0.44Form-0.1 vs 0.1
Ovince Saint PreuxYushin Okami

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Yushin Okami(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +5.8|Blue -5.8
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -1326.0|Blue +1326.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ovince Saint PreuxTargetYushin Okami

By target zone

0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

0
Distance
0
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ovince Saint Preux rounds
0
even
0
Yushin Okami rounds
Round 1Ovince Saint Preux edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control1:42
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
0 / 0
Sig Strikes
0 / 0
—
Sig Str %
—
3 / 3
Total Strikes
0 / 0
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
1:42
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Yushin Okami0 / 00 / 00 / 11
1Ovince Saint Preux0 / 03 / 30 / 01

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights28

Yushin Okami

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12