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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Volkan Oezdemir won · S-DEC R3
Elo1497
Elo1515
Volkan Oezdemir

Ovince Saint PreuxvsVolkan OezdemirUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, February 4, 2017Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Volkan Oezdemir won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupOvince Saint Preux: Well-roundedvsVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Ovince Saint Preux wins(68.8%)

Actual result: Volkan Oezdemir wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ovince Saint Preux at -420 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
  • Ovince Saint Preux has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux
Red Corner
VS
Volkan Oezdemir
Blue Corner
-420
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+335
(23%)
1497
Elo
1515
43
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
203.2 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →
L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21
W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22
L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23
W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24
latest
Volkan Oezdemir
oldest →
L
vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22
W
SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23
W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24
L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24
W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricVolkan Oezdemir
3.03
Strikes / min
4.99
3.33
Strikes absorbed / min
4.19
47%
Strike defense
55%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
0.50
67%
Takedown defense
80%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1539 vs 1500Strikes24.6 vs Takedowns0.7 vs Sub Atts0.18 vs Form-0.4 vs 0.0
Ovince Saint PreuxVolkan Oezdemir

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -18.2|Blue +18.2
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ovince Saint PreuxTargetVolkan Oezdemir

By target zone

61
37% acc · 80%
Head
51
37% acc · 62%
15
63% acc · 20%
Body
17
68% acc · 21%
0
Leg
14
74% acc · 17%

By position

69
39% acc · 91%
Distance
71
43% acc · 87%
7
58% acc · 9%
Clinch
11
69% acc · 13%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ovince Saint Preux rounds
1
even
1
Volkan Oezdemir rounds
Round 1Volkan Oezdemir edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:20Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:26
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 3Ovince Saint Preux edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:12
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
76 / 189
Sig Strikes
82 / 182
41%
Sig Str %
45.3%
79 / 192
Total Strikes
103 / 204
0 / 4
TDs
0 / 1
0%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:38
Ctrl Time
1:23

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Volkan Oezdemir27 / 5539 / 680 / 10
1Ovince Saint Preux14 / 3014 / 300 / 10
2Volkan Oezdemir26 / 5529 / 580 / 00
2Ovince Saint Preux24 / 6225 / 630 / 20
3Volkan Oezdemir29 / 7235 / 780 / 00
3Ovince Saint Preux38 / 9740 / 990 / 10

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights28

Volkan Oezdemir

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights16