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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ovince Saint Preux won · SUB R1
Elo1497
Elo1501

Ovince Saint PreuxvsTyson PedroUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · Saturday, June 23, 2018Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Ovince Saint Preux won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:54

Model Prediction: Ovince Saint Preux wins(60.3%)

Actual result: Ovince Saint Preux wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ovince Saint Preux at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ovince Saint Preux has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux
Red Corner
VS
Tyson Pedro
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
1497
Elo
1501
43
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →
L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21
W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22
L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23
W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24
latest
Tyson Pedro
oldest →
W
KOvs Ike Villanueva · Apr 22
W
KOvs Harry Hunsucker · Aug 22
L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · Feb 23
W
KOvs Anton Turkalj · Sep 23
L
vs Vitor Petrino · Mar 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricTyson Pedro
3.03
Strikes / min
2.90
3.33
Strikes absorbed / min
2.39
47%
Strike defense
56%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
0.76
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1552 vs 1530Strikes24.8 vs 17.5Takedowns0.6 vs 0.5Sub Atts0.25 vs 0.50Form0.2 vs 0.4
Ovince Saint PreuxTyson Pedro

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Tyson Pedro(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -3.5|Blue +3.5
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ovince Saint PreuxTargetTyson Pedro

By target zone

5
56% acc · 71%
Head
5
83% acc · 56%
2
67% acc · 29%
Body
3
75% acc · 33%
0
Leg
1
50% acc · 11%

By position

4
50% acc · 57%
Distance
6
75% acc · 67%
0
Clinch
3
75% acc · 33%
3
75% acc · 43%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Ovince Saint Preux rounds
0
even
1
Tyson Pedro rounds
Round 1Tyson Pedro edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:35
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:20Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
7 / 12
Sig Strikes
9 / 12
58%
Sig Str %
75%
13 / 18
Total Strikes
10 / 13
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 4
0%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:35
Ctrl Time
1:20

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Tyson Pedro9 / 1210 / 130 / 41
1Ovince Saint Preux7 / 1213 / 180 / 11

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights28

Tyson Pedro

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11