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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ovince Saint Preux won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1497

Elo1355

Ovince Saint PreuxvsRyan JimmoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · Saturday, June 14, 2014Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Ovince Saint Preux won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:10

Style matchupOvince Saint Preux: Well-roundedvsRyan Jimmo: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Ryan Jimmo wins(51.6%)

Actual result: Ovince Saint Preux wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ryan Jimmo at +155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ryan Jimmo has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
Ovince Saint Preux has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux

Red Corner

Ryan Jimmo

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+155

(39%)

1497

Elo

1355

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'1"

203.2 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint Preux

oldest →

KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Mauricio Rua · May 22

KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24

latest

Ryan Jimmo

oldest →

vs James Te Huna · Feb 13

vs Igor Pokrajac · Jun 13

KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Oct 13

KOvs Sean O'Connell · Apr 14

vs Francimar Barroso · May 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricRyan Jimmo

3.03

Strikes / min

3.12

3.33

Strikes absorbed / min

2.77

47%

Strike defense

46%

1.09

TDs / 15 min

0.45

67%

Takedown defense

87%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ovince Saint PreuxRyan Jimmo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Ryan Jimmo(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +142.4|Blue -142.4

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +32.0|Blue -32.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ovince Saint PreuxTargetRyan Jimmo

By target zone

27% acc · 50%

Head

27% acc · 27%

100% acc · 21%

Body

60% acc · 20%

80% acc · 29%

Leg

89% acc · 53%

By position

38% acc · 79%

Distance

48% acc · 87%

50% acc · 14%

Clinch

100% acc · 13%

100% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ovince Saint Preux rounds

even

Ryan Jimmo rounds

Round 1Ovince Saint Preux edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control0:43

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

Round 2Ovince Saint Preux edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control1:17

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 34

Sig Strikes

15 / 29

37.5%

Sig Str %

51%

20 / 40

Total Strikes

19 / 34

2 / 4

TDs

0 / 1

66.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:00

Ctrl Time

1:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ryan Jimmo	12 / 23	15 / 27	0 / 1	0
1	Ovince Saint Preux	12 / 28	16 / 32	1 / 3	0
2	Ryan Jimmo	3 / 6	4 / 7	0 / 0	0
2	Ovince Saint Preux	2 / 6	4 / 8	1 / 1	1

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights28

Ryan Jimmo

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7