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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ovince Saint Preux won · Decision R3
Elo1497
Elo1356

Ovince Saint PreuxvsRafael FeijaoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · Saturday, February 6, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ovince Saint Preux won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ovince Saint Preux wins(64.5%)

Actual result: Ovince Saint Preux wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ovince Saint Preux at -420 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
  • Ovince Saint Preux has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Feijao
Blue Corner
-420
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+335
(23%)
1497
Elo
1356
43
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
203.2 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →
L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21
W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22
L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23
W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24
latest
Rafael FeijaoL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Thiago Silva · Jun 13
W
KOvs Igor Pokrajac · Nov 13
L
DECvs Ryan Bader · Jun 14
L
KOvs Patrick Cummins · Aug 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricRafael Feijao
3.03
Strikes / min
3.33
Strikes absorbed / min
47%
Strike defense
1.09
TDs / 15 min
67%
Takedown defense
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1555 vs 1471Strikes18.6 vs 18.3Takedowns0.6 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.25 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs -0.8
Ovince Saint PreuxRafael Feijao

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Rafael Feijao(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +140.9|Blue -140.9
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights28

Rafael Feijao

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2