Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Philipe Lins won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1497

Elo1511

Ovince Saint PreuxvsPhilipe LinsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Saturday, February 18, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Philipe Lins won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:49

Style matchupOvince Saint Preux: Well-roundedvsPhilipe Lins: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Philipe Lins wins(51.8%)

Actual result: Philipe Lins wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Philipe Lins at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Philipe Lins enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Philipe Lins has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux

Red Corner

Philipe Lins

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-210

(68%)

1497

Elo

1511

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'2"

203.2 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint Preux

oldest →

KOvs Jamahal Hill · Dec 20

KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Mauricio Rua · May 22

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24

latest

Philipe LinsW3 streak

oldest →

vs Andrei Arlovski · May 20

KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 20

vs Marcin Prachnio · Apr 22

vs Maxim Grishin · Jun 23

vs Ion Cutelaba · Mar 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricPhilipe Lins

3.03

Strikes / min

3.80

3.33

Strikes absorbed / min

3.59

47%

Strike defense

46%

1.09

TDs / 15 min

1.65

67%

Takedown defense

100%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ovince Saint PreuxPhilipe Lins

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Philipe Lins(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -14.1|Blue +14.1

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ovince Saint PreuxTargetPhilipe Lins

By target zone

0% acc

Head

40% acc · 94%

Body

100% acc · 6%

50% acc · 100%

Leg

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

34% acc · 72%

Clinch

80% acc · 22%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ovince Saint Preux rounds

even

Philipe Lins rounds

Round 1Philipe Lins edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 3

Sig Strikes

18 / 44

33%

Sig Str %

40%

1 / 3

Total Strikes

18 / 44

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Philipe Lins	18 / 44	18 / 44	0 / 0	0
1	Ovince Saint Preux	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0	0

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights28

Philipe Lins

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights6