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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ovince Saint Preux won · S-DEC R3
Elo1497
Elo1504

Ovince Saint PreuxvsKennedy NzechukwuUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Saturday, March 16, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ovince Saint Preux won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupOvince Saint Preux: Well-roundedvsKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(72.8%)

Actual result: Ovince Saint Preux wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kennedy Nzechukwu at -625 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux
Red Corner
VS
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Blue Corner
+455
(18%)
Vegas Odds
-625
(86%)
1497
Elo
1504
43
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'5"
203.2 cm
Reach
210.82 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint PreuxL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Dec 20
L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21
W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22
L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23
L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24
latest
Kennedy Nzechukwu
oldest →
L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 23
W
KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24
W
KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24
L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25
D
vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricKennedy Nzechukwu
3.03
Strikes / min
4.96
3.33
Strikes absorbed / min
4.58
47%
Strike defense
51%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
0.50
67%
Takedown defense
80%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1527Strikes3.0 vs 5.1Takedowns1.1 vs 0.6Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.20Form-0.4 vs 0.1
Ovince Saint PreuxKennedy Nzechukwu

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -6.9|Blue +6.9
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +168.0|Blue -168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ovince Saint PreuxTargetKennedy Nzechukwu

By target zone

98
44% acc · 69%
Head
85
40% acc · 80%
32
82% acc · 22%
Body
19
54% acc · 18%
13
93% acc · 9%
Leg
2
100% acc · 2%

By position

131
50% acc · 92%
Distance
93
40% acc · 88%
11
85% acc · 8%
Clinch
13
87% acc · 12%
1
100% acc · 1%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Ovince Saint Preux rounds
0
even
0
Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds
Round 1Ovince Saint Preux edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ovince Saint Preux edged it
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Ovince Saint Preux edged it
Sig. strikes73
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns1
55Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
143 / 276
Sig Strikes
106 / 250
50.7%
Sig Str %
40.7%
143 / 276
Total Strikes
106 / 250
0 / 2
TDs
0 / 1
0%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:06
Ctrl Time
0:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Kennedy Nzechukwu22 / 5722 / 570 / 00
1Ovince Saint Preux26 / 5726 / 570 / 00
2Kennedy Nzechukwu29 / 8029 / 800 / 10
2Ovince Saint Preux44 / 7944 / 790 / 00
3Kennedy Nzechukwu55 / 11355 / 1130 / 00
3Ovince Saint Preux73 / 14073 / 1400 / 20

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights28

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw
Height77.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights15