Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jimi Manuwa won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1497

Elo1373

Ovince Saint PreuxvsJimi ManuwaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · Saturday, October 8, 2016Manchester, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Jimi Manuwa won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:38

Style matchupOvince Saint Preux: Well-roundedvsJimi Manuwa: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Jimi Manuwa wins(66.4%)

Actual result: Jimi Manuwa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jimi Manuwa at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimi Manuwa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux

Red Corner

Jimi Manuwa

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1497

Elo

1373

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'1"

203.2 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint Preux

oldest →

KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Mauricio Rua · May 22

KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24

latest

Jimi ManuwaL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17

vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18

KOvs Thiago Santos · Dec 18

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricJimi Manuwa

3.03

Strikes / min

3.43

3.33

Strikes absorbed / min

3.97

47%

Strike defense

49%

1.09

TDs / 15 min

0.53

67%

Takedown defense

70%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ovince Saint PreuxJimi Manuwa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +123.9|Blue -123.9

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -231.0|Blue +231.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ovince Saint PreuxTargetJimi Manuwa

By target zone

24% acc · 54%

Head

48% acc · 38%

57% acc · 31%

Body

82% acc · 28%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 34%

By position

29% acc · 77%

Distance

63% acc · 63%

67% acc · 15%

Clinch

86% acc · 38%

100% acc · 8%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ovince Saint Preux rounds

even

Jimi Manuwa rounds

Round 1Ovince Saint Preux edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control3:14

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:30Control

Round 2Jimi Manuwa edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:13

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 38

Sig Strikes

32 / 47

34.5%

Sig Str %

68.5%

17 / 44

Total Strikes

33 / 48

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 3

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:27

Ctrl Time

0:31

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jimi Manuwa	15 / 20	16 / 21	0 / 3	1
1	Ovince Saint Preux	7 / 17	11 / 23	2 / 2	0
2	Jimi Manuwa	17 / 27	17 / 27	0 / 0	0
2	Ovince Saint Preux	6 / 21	6 / 21	0 / 1	0

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights28

Jimi Manuwa

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights12