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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jamahal Hill won · KO/TKO
Elo1497
Elo1485
Jamahal Hill

Ovince Saint PreuxvsJamahal HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · Saturday, December 5, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jamahal Hill won

KO/TKO

Style matchupOvince Saint Preux: Well-roundedvsJamahal Hill: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Jamahal Hill wins(61.5%)

Actual result: Jamahal Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamahal Hill at -177 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux
Red Corner
VS
Jamahal Hill
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-177
(64%)
1497
Elo
1485
43
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →
L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21
W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22
L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23
W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24
latest
Jamahal HillL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Aug 22
W
vs Glover Teixeira · Jan 23
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 24
L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jan 25
L
vs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Jun 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricJamahal Hill
3.03
Strikes / min
6.19
3.33
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
47%
Strike defense
44%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
0.00
67%
Takedown defense
73%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30Δ 2.46 — meaningful gap+2.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1549 vs 1530Strikes2.6 vs 7.9Takedowns1.2 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.60 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs 1.0
Ovince Saint PreuxJamahal Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Jamahal Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +11.7|Blue -11.7
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ovince Saint PreuxTargetJamahal Hill

By target zone

7
19% acc · 19%
Head
39
42% acc · 57%
14
82% acc · 39%
Body
23
82% acc · 34%
15
79% acc · 42%
Leg
6
75% acc · 9%

By position

35
50% acc · 97%
Distance
62
52% acc · 91%
1
50% acc · 3%
Clinch
6
75% acc · 9%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Ovince Saint Preux rounds
0
even
2
Jamahal Hill rounds
Round 1Jamahal Hill edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Jamahal Hill edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
41Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
36 / 72
Sig Strikes
68 / 128
49.5%
Sig Str %
52.5%
37 / 73
Total Strikes
68 / 128
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:15

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jamahal Hill27 / 5127 / 510 / 00
1Ovince Saint Preux21 / 4122 / 420 / 00
2Jamahal Hill41 / 7741 / 770 / 00
2Ovince Saint Preux15 / 3115 / 310 / 00

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights28

Jamahal Hill

StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11