Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ilir Latifi won · SUB R1

Elo1497

Ovince Saint PreuxvsIlir LatifiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · Saturday, February 24, 2018Orlando, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Ilir Latifi won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:48

Style matchupOvince Saint Preux: Well-roundedvsIlir Latifi: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ovince Saint Preux wins(63.4%)

Actual result: Ilir Latifi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ovince Saint Preux at -165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ilir Latifi has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
Ovince Saint Preux has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux

Red Corner

Ilir Latifi

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1497

Elo

1497

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'10"

203.2 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint Preux

oldest →

KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Mauricio Rua · May 22

KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24

latest

Ilir Latifi

oldest →

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19

vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20

vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22

vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricIlir Latifi

3.03

Strikes / min

2.05

3.33

Strikes absorbed / min

2.93

47%

Strike defense

56%

1.09

TDs / 15 min

2.11

67%

Takedown defense

100%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.88

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ovince Saint PreuxIlir Latifi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Ilir Latifi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ovince Saint PreuxTargetIlir Latifi

By target zone

11% acc · 29%

Head

44% acc · 44%

67% acc · 29%

Body

83% acc · 20%

100% acc · 43%

Leg

90% acc · 36%

By position

29% acc · 100%

Distance

56% acc · 76%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

83% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ovince Saint Preux rounds

even

Ilir Latifi rounds

Round 1Ilir Latifi edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 24

Sig Strikes

25 / 41

29%

Sig Str %

60%

7 / 24

Total Strikes

27 / 43

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ilir Latifi	25 / 41	27 / 43	0 / 0	1
1	Ovince Saint Preux	7 / 24	7 / 24	0 / 0	0

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights28

Ilir Latifi

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights16