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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ovince Saint Preux won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1497
Elo1492
Corey Anderson

Ovince Saint PreuxvsCorey AndersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · Saturday, November 4, 2017New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Ovince Saint Preux won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:25

Style matchupOvince Saint Preux: Well-roundedvsCorey Anderson: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Corey Anderson wins(53.1%)

Actual result: Ovince Saint Preux wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Corey Anderson at +155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Corey Anderson has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Corey Anderson has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux
Red Corner
VS
Corey Anderson
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
1497
Elo
1492
43
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →
L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21
W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22
L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23
W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24
latest
Corey Anderson
oldest →
W
vs Patrick Cummins · Apr 18
W
vs Glover Teixeira · Jul 18
W
vs Ilir Latifi · Dec 18
W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Nov 19
L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Feb 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricCorey Anderson
3.03
Strikes / min
4.43
3.33
Strikes absorbed / min
2.22
47%
Strike defense
59%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
4.89
67%
Takedown defense
83%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30Δ 2.51 — meaningful gap+2.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1554 vs 1537Strikes26.2 vs 56.2Takedowns0.6 vs 3.2Sub Atts0.29 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs -0.0
Ovince Saint PreuxCorey Anderson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Corey Anderson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +5.0|Blue -5.0
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -188.0|Blue +188.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ovince Saint PreuxTargetCorey Anderson

By target zone

17
41% acc · 74%
Head
19
61% acc · 63%
3
60% acc · 13%
Body
6
75% acc · 20%
3
100% acc · 13%
Leg
5
83% acc · 17%

By position

17
40% acc · 74%
Distance
14
56% acc · 47%
6
86% acc · 26%
Clinch
10
71% acc · 33%
0
Ground
6
100% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ovince Saint Preux rounds
0
even
2
Corey Anderson rounds
Round 1Corey Anderson edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:01
14Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:11Control
Round 2Corey Anderson edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:56Control
Round 3Ovince Saint Preux edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
23 / 49
Sig Strikes
30 / 45
42%
Sig Str %
67%
30 / 56
Total Strikes
60 / 87
0 / 0
TDs
4 / 10
—
TD %
30%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
7:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Corey Anderson14 / 2123 / 342 / 50
1Ovince Saint Preux15 / 2716 / 280 / 00
2Corey Anderson11 / 1732 / 462 / 40
2Ovince Saint Preux5 / 1211 / 180 / 00
3Corey Anderson5 / 75 / 70 / 10
3Ovince Saint Preux3 / 103 / 100 / 00

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights28

Corey Anderson

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15