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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ovince Saint Preux won · KO/TKO

Elo1497

Elo1525

Ovince Saint PreuxvsAlonzo MenifieldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · Saturday, September 5, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ovince Saint Preux won

KO/TKO

Style matchupOvince Saint Preux: Well-roundedvsAlonzo Menifield: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Alonzo Menifield wins(57.7%)

Actual result: Ovince Saint Preux wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alonzo Menifield at -134 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
Ovince Saint Preux has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ovince Saint Preux

Red Corner

Alonzo Menifield

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-134

(57%)

1497

Elo

1525

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

203.2 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ovince Saint Preux

oldest →

KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Mauricio Rua · May 22

KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24

latest

Alonzo Menifield

oldest →

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24

vs Julius Walker · Feb 25

vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ovince Saint PreuxMetricAlonzo Menifield

3.03

Strikes / min

3.77

3.33

Strikes absorbed / min

3.81

47%

Strike defense

50%

1.09

TDs / 15 min

0.50

67%

Takedown defense

78%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ovince Saint PreuxAlonzo Menifield

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -28.2|Blue +28.2

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +24.0|Blue -24.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ovince Saint PreuxTargetAlonzo Menifield

By target zone

27% acc · 36%

Head

39% acc · 63%

55% acc · 52%

Body

60% acc · 16%

80% acc · 12%

Leg

100% acc · 21%

By position

41% acc · 100%

Distance

45% acc · 89%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ovince Saint Preux rounds

even

Alonzo Menifield rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Round 2Ovince Saint Preux edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 80

Sig Strikes

19 / 40

41%

Sig Str %

47%

33 / 80

Total Strikes

21 / 43

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:36

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alonzo Menifield	11 / 23	13 / 26	0 / 2
1	Ovince Saint Preux	13 / 42	13 / 42	0 / 0
2	Alonzo Menifield	8 / 17	8 / 17	0 / 0
2	Ovince Saint Preux	20 / 38	20 / 38	0 / 0

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights28

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17