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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Oumar Sy won · U-DEC R3
Elo1500
Oumar Sy
Elo1481
Da Woon Jung

Oumar SyvsDa Woon JungUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Saturday, September 28, 2024Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Oumar Sy won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupOumar Sy: WrestlervsDa Woon Jung: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Oumar Sy wins(84.7%)

Actual result: Oumar Sy wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Oumar Sy at -625 American odds

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Da Woon Jung enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Oumar Sy has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Oumar Sy has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Oumar Sy
Red Corner
VS
Da Woon Jung
Blue Corner
-625
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+455
(18%)
1500
Elo
1481
30
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
210.82 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Oumar Sy
oldest →
W
SUBvs Tuco Tokkos · May 24
L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Jun 25
W
KOvs Brendson Ribeiro · Sep 25
L
SUBvs Ion Cutelaba · Mar 26
latest
Da Woon JungL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Nov 21
L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jul 22
L
vs Devin Clark · Feb 23
L
SUBvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Oumar SyMetricDa Woon Jung
3.41
Strikes / min
3.24
1.87
Strikes absorbed / min
4.23
66%
Strike defense
49%
2.45
TDs / 15 min
1.59
66%
Takedown defense
75%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.54Δ 2.53 — meaningful gap-0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1473Strikes4.8 vs 3.2Takedowns3.2 vs 1.6Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.20Form1.0 vs -0.8
Oumar SyDa Woon Jung

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Oumar Sy(5 fights)Da Woon Jung(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +19.0|Blue -19.0
Recent Form
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -252.0|Blue +252.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Oumar SyTargetDa Woon Jung

By target zone

44
45% acc · 49%
Head
18
20% acc · 62%
19
83% acc · 21%
Body
5
42% acc · 17%
27
93% acc · 30%
Leg
6
46% acc · 21%

By position

78
57% acc · 87%
Distance
25
22% acc · 86%
12
86% acc · 13%
Clinch
4
100% acc · 14%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Oumar Sy rounds
0
even
0
Da Woon Jung rounds
Round 1Oumar Sy edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control1:27
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Oumar Sy edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control0:04
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 3Oumar Sy edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control1:31
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
90 / 150
Sig Strikes
29 / 117
61%
Sig Str %
24.3%
97 / 160
Total Strikes
36 / 124
2 / 7
TDs
0 / 1
25%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
1
3:02
Ctrl Time
0:09

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Da Woon Jung14 / 4021 / 470 / 00
1Oumar Sy23 / 4223 / 421 / 40
2Da Woon Jung8 / 438 / 430 / 00
2Oumar Sy43 / 7543 / 760 / 10
3Da Woon Jung7 / 347 / 340 / 10
3Oumar Sy24 / 3331 / 421 / 20

Oumar Sy

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights5

Da Woon Jung

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5