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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Oumar Sy won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1500

Elo1440

Oumar SyvsBrendson RibeiroUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Saturday, September 6, 2025Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Oumar Sy won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:42

Model Prediction: Oumar Sy wins(65.0%)

Actual result: Oumar Sy wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Oumar Sy at -560 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Brendson Ribeiro threatens submissions; Oumar Sy has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Oumar Sy has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Oumar Sy has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Oumar Sy

Red Corner

Brendson Ribeiro

Blue Corner

-560

(85%)

Vegas Odds

+420

(19%)

1500

Elo

1440

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'3"

210.82 cm

Reach

205.74 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Oumar SyL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tuco Tokkos · May 24

vs Da Woon Jung · Sep 24

vs Alonzo Menifield · Jun 25

SUBvs Ion Cutelaba · Mar 26

latest

Brendson RibeiroL3 streak

oldest →

vs Caio Machado · Nov 24

SUBvs Diyar Nurgozhay · Mar 25

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Jun 25

SUBvs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Apr 26

DECvs Magomed Tuchalov · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Oumar SyMetricBrendson Ribeiro

3.41

Strikes / min

3.04

1.87

Strikes absorbed / min

3.91

66%

Strike defense

53%

2.45

TDs / 15 min

0.85

66%

Takedown defense

21%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.54Δ 2.41 — meaningful gap-0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Oumar SyBrendson Ribeiro

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Oumar Sy(5 fights)Brendson Ribeiro(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +60.1|Blue -60.1

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Oumar SyTargetBrendson Ribeiro

By target zone

37% acc · 82%

Head

20% acc · 40%

0% acc

Body

50% acc · 20%

75% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 40%

By position

36% acc · 24%

Distance

36% acc · 100%

Clinch

41% acc · 76%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Oumar Sy rounds

even

Brendson Ribeiro rounds

Round 1Oumar Sy edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns2

Control3:28

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 43

Sig Strikes

5 / 14

39%

Sig Str %

35%

21 / 49

Total Strikes

11 / 22

2 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:28

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brendson Ribeiro	5 / 14	11 / 22	0 / 0	0
1	Oumar Sy	17 / 43	21 / 49	2 / 4	0

Oumar Sy

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach83.0"

Fights5

Brendson Ribeiro

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights8