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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Ottman Azaitar won · KO/TKO

Elo1481

Elo1410

Ottman AzaitarvsKhama WorthyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Saturday, September 12, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ottman Azaitar won

KO/TKO

Style matchupOttman Azaitar: Pressure fightervsKhama Worthy: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Ottman Azaitar wins(51.2%)

Actual result: Ottman Azaitar wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ottman Azaitar at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ottman Azaitar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ottman Azaitar is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Khama Worthy has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Khama Worthy is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Ottman Azaitar has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Ottman Azaitar has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ottman Azaitar (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Ottman Azaitar

Red Corner

Khama Worthy

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-137

(58%)

1481

Elo

1410

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ottman AzaitarL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Teemu Packalen · Sep 19

KOvs Matt Frevola · Nov 22

KOvs Francisco Prado · Jul 23

KOvs Michael Johnson · Dec 24

latest

Khama WorthyL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Devonte Smith · Aug 19

SUBvs Luis Pena · Jun 20

KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Mar 21

KOvs Jai Herbert · Oct 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ottman AzaitarMetricKhama Worthy

4.43

Strikes / min

4.18

4.11

Strikes absorbed / min

4.45

52%

Strike defense

46%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

100%

Takedown defense

57%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.32evenly matched on net striking-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ottman AzaitarKhama Worthy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ottman Azaitar(5 fights)Khama Worthy(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +71.5|Blue -71.5

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +294.0|Blue -294.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ottman AzaitarTargetKhama Worthy

By target zone

67% acc · 75%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 25%

Body

50% acc · 100%

Leg

0% acc

By position

60% acc · 19%

Distance

13% acc · 100%

60% acc · 38%

Clinch

0% acc

100% acc · 44%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ottman Azaitar rounds

even

Khama Worthy rounds

Round 1Ottman Azaitar edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:06

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 22

Sig Strikes

1 / 9

72%

Sig Str %

11%

16 / 22

Total Strikes

1 / 9

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:06

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Khama Worthy	1 / 9	1 / 9	0 / 0	0
1	Ottman Azaitar	16 / 22	16 / 22	0 / 0	0

Ottman Azaitar

StanceSwitch

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights5

Khama Worthy

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5