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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Oskar Piechota won · U-DEC R3

Elo1385

Elo1362

Oskar PiechotavsJonathan WilsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · Saturday, October 21, 2017Gdansk, Poland

Official fight result

Oskar Piechota won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jonathan Wilson wins(56.5%)

Actual result: Oskar Piechota wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jonathan Wilson at +180 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Oskar Piechota enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jonathan Wilson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Oskar Piechota has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Jonathan Wilson has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Oskar Piechota

Red Corner

Jonathan Wilson

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1385

Elo

1362

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'2"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Oskar PiechotaL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Tim Williams · Feb 18

SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Jul 18

SUBvs Rodolfo Vieira · Aug 19

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 19

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 20

latest

Jonathan WilsonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chris Dempsey · Aug 15

KOvs Henrique da Silva · Jun 16

vs Ion Cutelaba · Oct 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Oskar PiechotaMetricJonathan Wilson

3.30

Strikes / min

2.92

3.93

Strikes absorbed / min

5.65

51%

Strike defense

56%

0.61

TDs / 15 min

0.37

38%

Takedown defense

80%

1.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.63Δ 2.10 — meaningful gap-2.73

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Oskar PiechotaJonathan Wilson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Oskar Piechota(6 fights)Jonathan Wilson(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +23.0|Blue -23.0

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Grappler Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Oskar PiechotaTargetJonathan Wilson

By target zone

56% acc · 71%

Head

18% acc · 53%

67% acc · 14%

Body

67% acc · 12%

89% acc · 14%

Leg

86% acc · 35%

By position

47% acc · 54%

Distance

28% acc · 100%

92% acc · 21%

Clinch

88% acc · 25%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Oskar Piechota rounds

even

Jonathan Wilson rounds

Round 1Oskar Piechota edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control2:03

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Oskar Piechota edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Oskar Piechota edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control2:14

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 93

Sig Strikes

17 / 60

60.3%

Sig Str %

27%

80 / 121

Total Strikes

17 / 60

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:20

Ctrl Time

0:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jonathan Wilson	4 / 15	4 / 15	0 / 0	0
1	Oskar Piechota	18 / 26	28 / 40	0 / 2	2
2	Jonathan Wilson	10 / 33	10 / 33	0 / 0	0
2	Oskar Piechota	16 / 33	16 / 33	0 / 0	0
3	Jonathan Wilson	3 / 12	3 / 12	0 / 0	0
3	Oskar Piechota	22 / 34	36 / 48	1 / 1	1

Oskar Piechota

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6

Jonathan Wilson

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4