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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Uros Medic won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1453

Elo1539

Omar MoralesvsUros MedicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · Saturday, May 21, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Uros Medic won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:05

Style matchupOmar Morales: StrikervsUros Medic: Striker

Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.

Model Prediction: Uros Medic wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Uros Medic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Uros Medic at +115 American odds

+$115 profit

$215 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Uros Medic enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Uros Medic (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Omar Morales

Red Corner

Uros Medic

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1453

Elo

1539

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Omar MoralesL2 streak

oldest →

vs Gabriel Benitez · May 20

vs Giga Chikadze · Oct 20

vs Shane Young · Mar 21

SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Sep 21

vs Chris Duncan · Mar 23

latest

Uros MedicW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Tim Means · Apr 24

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jan 25

KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Aug 25

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 25

KOvs Geoff Neal · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Omar MoralesMetricUros Medic

3.42

Strikes / min

5.59

3.18

Strikes absorbed / min

3.42

58%

Strike defense

56%

0.46

TDs / 15 min

0.34

63%

Takedown defense

55%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.24Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap+2.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Omar MoralesUros Medic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Omar Morales(6 fights)Uros Medic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -86.4|Blue +86.4

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Omar MoralesTargetUros Medic

By target zone

28% acc · 55%

Head

37% acc · 45%

57% acc · 24%

Body

81% acc · 28%

100% acc · 21%

Leg

100% acc · 28%

By position

39% acc · 97%

Distance

54% acc · 96%

33% acc · 3%

Clinch

67% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Omar Morales rounds

even

Uros Medic rounds

Round 1Uros Medic edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Uros Medic edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 85

Sig Strikes

47 / 86

40%

Sig Str %

55.5%

33 / 85

Total Strikes

47 / 86

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Uros Medic	24 / 50	24 / 50	0 / 0
1	Omar Morales	17 / 52	17 / 52	0 / 0
2	Uros Medic	23 / 36	23 / 36	0 / 0
2	Omar Morales	16 / 33	16 / 33	0 / 0

Omar Morales

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6

Uros Medic

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10