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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Shawn Jordan won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1352

Elo1490

Oli ThompsonvsShawn JordanUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · Friday, March 2, 2012Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Shawn Jordan won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:53

Model Prediction: Oli Thompson wins(52.7%)

Actual result: Shawn Jordan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Oli Thompson at +200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Shawn Jordan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Oli Thompson has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Shawn Jordan has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Shawn Jordan (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Oli Thompson

Red Corner

Shawn Jordan

Blue Corner

+200

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1352

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Oli Thompson

oldest →

SUBvs Philip De Fries · Aug 12

latest

Shawn Jordan

oldest →

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Mar 14

KOvs Jack May · Aug 14

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jan 15

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 15

vs Ruslan Magomedov · Oct 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Oli ThompsonMetricShawn Jordan

1.66

Strikes / min

2.87

5.31

Strikes absorbed / min

3.30

46%

Strike defense

47%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.97

50%

Takedown defense

76%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-3.65Δ 3.22 — meaningful gap-0.43

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Oli Thompson(2 fights)Shawn Jordan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.9|Blue +138.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Oli ThompsonTargetShawn Jordan

By target zone

31% acc · 52%

Head

54% acc · 89%

100% acc · 21%

Body

88% acc · 11%

100% acc · 28%

Leg

By position

47% acc · 97%

Distance

55% acc · 88%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

Ground

40% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Oli Thompson rounds

even

Shawn Jordan rounds

Round 1Shawn Jordan edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:02

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:53Control

Round 2Shawn Jordan edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:03

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 62

Sig Strikes

64 / 113

46%

Sig Str %

58.5%

32 / 66

Total Strikes

68 / 117

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

1:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Shawn Jordan	33 / 69	37 / 73	0 / 0	0
1	Oli Thompson	16 / 33	17 / 35	0 / 0	1
2	Shawn Jordan	31 / 44	31 / 44	0 / 0	0
2	Oli Thompson	13 / 29	15 / 31	0 / 1	0

Oli Thompson

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights2

Shawn Jordan

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10