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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Tyson Nam won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1479

Elo1469

Ode OsbournevsTyson NamUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · Saturday, August 13, 2022San Diego, California, USA

Official fight result

Tyson Nam won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:59

Style matchupOde Osbourne: Well-roundedvsTyson Nam: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Ode Osbourne wins(70.8%)

Actual result: Tyson Nam wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ode Osbourne at -460 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tyson Nam enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tyson Nam has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tyson Nam has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ode Osbourne (53.5%).
Ode Osbourne has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ode Osbourne

Red Corner

Tyson Nam

Blue Corner

-460

(82%)

Vegas Odds

+370

(21%)

1479

Elo

1469

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

185.42 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ode OsbourneL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 24

vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Sep 24

KOvs Luis Gurule · Apr 25

vs Steve Erceg · Aug 25

vs Alibi Idiris · Feb 26

latest

Tyson NamL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Zarrukh Adashev · Jun 20

KOvs Jerome Rivera · Sep 20

vs Matt Schnell · Jan 21

SUBvs Bruno Silva · Mar 23

vs Azat Maksum · Jul 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ode OsbourneMetricTyson Nam

2.94

Strikes / min

3.87

3.24

Strikes absorbed / min

4.97

49%

Strike defense

65%

0.94

TDs / 15 min

0.00

66%

Takedown defense

87%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking-1.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ode OsbourneTyson Nam

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ode Osbourne(10 fights)Tyson Nam(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.6|Blue -10.6

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -500.0|Blue +500.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ode OsbourneTargetTyson Nam

By target zone

22% acc · 47%

Head

47% acc · 54%

88% acc · 47%

Body

50% acc · 23%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

75% acc · 23%

By position

37% acc · 100%

Distance

52% acc · 92%

Clinch

Ground

50% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ode Osbourne rounds

even

Tyson Nam rounds

Round 1Tyson Nam edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 41

Sig Strikes

13 / 25

36%

Sig Str %

52%

15 / 41

Total Strikes

13 / 25

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Tyson Nam	13 / 25	13 / 25	0 / 0	0
1	Ode Osbourne	15 / 41	15 / 41	0 / 0	0

Ode Osbourne

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11

Tyson Nam

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8