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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Ode Osbourne won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1479

Elo1448

Ode OsbournevsLuis GuruleUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · Saturday, April 5, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ode Osbourne won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:54

Style matchupOde Osbourne: Well-roundedvsLuis Gurule: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Luis Gurule wins(68.1%)

Actual result: Ode Osbourne wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luis Gurule at -255 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ode Osbourne enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Luis Gurule has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Ode Osbourne (53.5%).
Ode Osbourne has a 23cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ode Osbourne

Red Corner

Luis Gurule

Blue Corner

+210

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-255

(72%)

1479

Elo

1448

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

185.42 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ode OsbourneL5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Aug 23

SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 24

vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Sep 24

vs Steve Erceg · Aug 25

vs Alibi Idiris · Feb 26

latest

Luis Gurule

oldest →

vs Jesus Aguilar · Sep 25

vs Alden Coria · Feb 26

DECvs Daniel Barez · May 26

SUBvs Rei Tsuruya · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ode OsbourneMetricLuis Gurule

2.94

Strikes / min

4.47

3.24

Strikes absorbed / min

4.74

49%

Strike defense

59%

0.94

TDs / 15 min

0.58

66%

Takedown defense

58%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ode OsbourneLuis Gurule

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ode Osbourne(10 fights)Luis Gurule(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +30.9|Blue -30.9

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ode OsbourneTargetLuis Gurule

By target zone

33% acc · 61%

Head

23% acc · 25%

67% acc · 33%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 6%

Leg

64% acc · 75%

By position

38% acc · 78%

Distance

34% acc · 92%

0% acc

Clinch

50% acc · 8%

80% acc · 22%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ode Osbourne rounds

even

Luis Gurule rounds

Round 1Luis Gurule edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:07Control

Round 2Ode Osbourne edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:07

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 43

Sig Strikes

12 / 34

40%

Sig Str %

34.5%

22 / 50

Total Strikes

26 / 49

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 4

—

TD %

16.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:07

Ctrl Time

2:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Luis Gurule	7 / 19	21 / 33	1 / 3
1	Ode Osbourne	5 / 19	5 / 20	0 / 0
2	Luis Gurule	5 / 15	5 / 16	0 / 1
2	Ode Osbourne	13 / 24	17 / 30	0 / 0

Ode Osbourne

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11

Luis Gurule

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights5