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Flyweight
3 Rounds
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Elo1480
Ode Osbourne
Elo1460
Cody Durden editorial illustration

Ode OsbournevsCody DurdenUFC Prediction

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Saturday, July 11, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupOde Osbourne: Well-roundedvsCody Durden: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ode Osbourne has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ode Osbourne
Red Corner
VS
Cody Durden
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1480
Elo
1460
34
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
185.42 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ode OsbourneL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 24
L
vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Sep 24
W
KOvs Luis Gurule · Apr 25
L
vs Steve Erceg · Aug 25
L
vs Alibi Idiris · Feb 26
latest
Cody Durden
oldest →
L
KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25
L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25
L
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26
W
DECvs Jafel Filho · Apr 26
L
SUBvs Alessandro Costa · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ode OsbourneMetricCody Durden
2.94
Strikes / min
3.24
3.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
49%
Strike defense
50%
0.94
TDs / 15 min
3.99
66%
Takedown defense
56%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501468148515031520← oldermost recent →
Ode Osbourne(10 fights)Cody Durden(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +19.8|Blue -19.8
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO48%

Historical win share: Ode Osbourne earned 50% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission41%

Historical win share: Cody Durden earned 14% of wins by submission.

Decision12%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Ode Osbourne

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11

Cody Durden

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights17