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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Oban Elliott won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1490

Oban ElliottvsPreston ParsonsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Saturday, July 27, 2024Manchester, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Oban Elliott won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupOban Elliott: Elusive strikervsPreston Parsons: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Oban Elliott wins(62.0%)

Actual result: Oban Elliott wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Preston Parsons has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Oban Elliott

Red Corner

Preston Parsons

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1491

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

182.88 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Oban ElliottL2 streak

oldest →

vs Val Woodburn · Feb 24

KOvs Bassil Hafez · Nov 24

vs Seokhyeon Ko · Jun 25

SUBvs Jonathan Micallef · Jan 26

latest

Preston Parsons

oldest →

KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 21

vs Evan Elder · Apr 22

vs Trevin Giles · Mar 23

vs Matthew Semelsberger · Jan 24

KOvs Jacobe Smith · Jan 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Oban ElliottMetricPreston Parsons

3.62

Strikes / min

3.54

2.24

Strikes absorbed / min

3.25

61%

Strike defense

54%

1.52

TDs / 15 min

3.46

52%

Takedown defense

71%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

2.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.38Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap+0.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Oban ElliottPreston Parsons

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Oban Elliott(5 fights)Preston Parsons(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Oban ElliottTargetPreston Parsons

By target zone

31% acc · 82%

Head

23% acc · 42%

80% acc · 9%

Body

44% acc · 11%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

94% acc · 47%

By position

34% acc · 93%

Distance

36% acc · 86%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

63% acc · 14%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Oban Elliott rounds

even

Preston Parsons rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control1:56

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 2Oban Elliott edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:54

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 3Oban Elliott edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control1:06

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:18Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 125

Sig Strikes

36 / 93

34.3%

Sig Str %

38.7%

49 / 142

Total Strikes

71 / 133

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 9

50%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

4:56

Ctrl Time

1:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Preston Parsons	12 / 34	25 / 50	0 / 2
1	Oban Elliott	9 / 35	12 / 43	0 / 0
2	Preston Parsons	16 / 29	23 / 38	0 / 4
2	Oban Elliott	13 / 46	14 / 53	1 / 2
3	Preston Parsons	8 / 30	23 / 45	1 / 3
3	Oban Elliott	22 / 44	23 / 46	0 / 0

Oban Elliott

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5

Preston Parsons

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6