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Welterweight
3 Rounds
2 days away
Elo1491
Oban Elliott editorial illustration
Elo—
Michael Oliveira editorial illustration

Oban ElliottvsMichael OliveiraUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Fight begins in
Style matchupOban Elliott: Elusive strikervsMichael Oliveira: Striker

Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Michael Oliveira has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Michael Oliveira has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Oban Elliott
Red Corner
VS
Michael Oliveira
Blue Corner
+273
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-352
(78%)
1491
Elo
N/A
28
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Oban ElliottL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Val Woodburn · Feb 24
W
vs Preston Parsons · Jul 24
W
KOvs Bassil Hafez · Nov 24
L
vs Seokhyeon Ko · Jun 25
L
SUBvs Jonathan Micallef · Jan 26
latest
Michael OliveiraNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Oban ElliottMetricMichael Oliveira
3.62
Strikes / min
8.40
2.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.36
61%
Strike defense
66%
1.52
TDs / 15 min
0.00
52%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.38Δ 3.66 — meaningful gap+5.04
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Oban Elliott(5 fights)Michael Oliveira(0 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +11.0|Blue -11.0
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Oban Elliott

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5

Michael Oliveira

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights0