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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Nursulton Ruziboev won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1544

Elo1509

Nursulton RuziboevvsEric McConicoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · Saturday, February 22, 2025Seattle, Washington, USA

Official fight result

Nursulton Ruziboev won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:33

Model Prediction: Nursulton Ruziboev wins(68.4%)

Actual result: Nursulton Ruziboev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nursulton Ruziboev at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nursulton Ruziboev is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Eric McConico has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Eric McConico has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Eric McConico (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nursulton Ruziboev

Red Corner

Eric McConico

Blue Corner

-320

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+260

(28%)

1544

Elo

1509

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'5"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nursulton RuziboevW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jul 23

KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 24

vs Joaquin Buckley · May 24

vs Dustin Stoltzfus · May 25

SUBvs Andrey Pulyaev · Jun 26

latest

Eric McConico

oldest →

vs Cody Brundage · Aug 25

KOvs Baisangur Susurkaev · Nov 25

DECvs Rodolfo Vieira · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nursulton RuziboevMetricEric McConico

2.59

Strikes / min

2.92

2.89

Strikes absorbed / min

3.05

48%

Strike defense

45%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

0.64

33%

Takedown defense

68%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nursulton RuziboevEric McConico

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nursulton Ruziboev(6 fights)Eric McConico(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +35.4|Blue -35.4

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nursulton RuziboevTargetEric McConico

By target zone

43% acc · 75%

Head

20% acc · 20%

67% acc · 20%

Body

33% acc · 20%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

60% acc · 60%

By position

43% acc · 65%

Distance

38% acc · 100%

55% acc · 30%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nursulton Ruziboev rounds

even

Eric McConico rounds

Round 1Nursulton Ruziboev edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:30

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Nursulton Ruziboev edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:06

Knockdowns2

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 42

Sig Strikes

5 / 13

46%

Sig Str %

36.5%

24 / 46

Total Strikes

6 / 16

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:36

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Eric McConico	4 / 10	5 / 13	0 / 0
1	Nursulton Ruziboev	13 / 24	14 / 25	0 / 0
2	Eric McConico	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0
2	Nursulton Ruziboev	7 / 18	10 / 21	0 / 0

Nursulton Ruziboev

StanceOrthodox

Height77.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights7

Eric McConico

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4