← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Rustam Khabilov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1492

Norman ParkevsRustam KhabilovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · Saturday, February 27, 2016London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Rustam Khabilov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNorman Parke: Well-roundedvsRustam Khabilov: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Norman Parke wins(61.3%)

Actual result: Rustam Khabilov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Norman Parke at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Norman Parke has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Norman Parke (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Norman Parke

Red Corner

Rustam Khabilov

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1490

Elo

1492

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Norman Parke

oldest →

vs Jon Tuck · Oct 13

KOvs Naoyuki Kotani · Jul 14

vs Gleison Tibau · Jan 15

vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 15

vs Reza Madadi · Oct 15

latest

Rustam Khabilov

oldest →

vs Jason Saggo · Dec 16

vs Desmond Green · Sep 17

vs Kajan Johnson · Sep 18

vs Diego Ferreira · Feb 19

vs Sergey Khandozhko · Nov 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Norman ParkeMetricRustam Khabilov

3.06

Strikes / min

1.98

2.88

Strikes absorbed / min

2.16

64%

Strike defense

65%

1.98

TDs / 15 min

3.95

77%

Takedown defense

61%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Norman ParkeRustam Khabilov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Norman Parke(8 fights)Rustam Khabilov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -244.0|Blue +244.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Norman ParkeTargetRustam Khabilov

By target zone

11% acc · 35%

Head

38% acc · 91%

50% acc · 24%

Body

67% acc · 6%

64% acc · 41%

Leg

33% acc · 3%

By position

22% acc · 88%

Distance

24% acc · 45%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

67% acc · 12%

Ground

76% acc · 48%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Norman Parke rounds

even

Rustam Khabilov rounds

Round 1Rustam Khabilov edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:02Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:17

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:54Control

Round 3Rustam Khabilov edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control1:31

14Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:39Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 72

Sig Strikes

33 / 85

23.3%

Sig Str %

40.7%

17 / 72

Total Strikes

61 / 114

1 / 3

TDs

6 / 9

50%

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

1:48

Ctrl Time

4:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rustam Khabilov	11 / 32	12 / 33	2 / 4
1	Norman Parke	3 / 24	3 / 24	0 / 0
2	Rustam Khabilov	8 / 31	18 / 41	1 / 2
2	Norman Parke	11 / 38	11 / 38	0 / 2
3	Rustam Khabilov	14 / 22	31 / 40	3 / 3
3	Norman Parke	3 / 10	3 / 10	1 / 1

Norman Parke

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8

Rustam Khabilov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13