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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Norman Parke won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1360

Norman ParkevsReza MadadiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · Saturday, October 24, 2015Dublin, Leinster, Ireland

Official fight result

Norman Parke won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNorman Parke: Well-roundedvsReza Madadi: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Norman Parke wins(52.8%)

Actual result: Norman Parke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Norman Parke at -240 American odds

+$42 profit

$142 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Norman Parke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Norman Parke (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Norman Parke

Red Corner

Reza Madadi

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1490

Elo

1360

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Norman ParkeL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jon Tuck · Oct 13

KOvs Naoyuki Kotani · Jul 14

vs Gleison Tibau · Jan 15

vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 15

vs Rustam Khabilov · Feb 16

latest

Reza MadadiL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cristiano Marcello · Oct 12

SUBvs Michael Johnson · Apr 13

KOvs Yan Cabral · May 16

vs Joe Duffy · Mar 17

vs Joaquim Silva · May 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Norman ParkeMetricReza Madadi

3.06

Strikes / min

2.51

2.88

Strikes absorbed / min

3.31

64%

Strike defense

66%

1.98

TDs / 15 min

3.17

77%

Takedown defense

89%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Norman ParkeReza Madadi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Norman Parke(8 fights)Reza Madadi(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +130.0|Blue -130.0

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -784.0|Blue +784.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Norman ParkeTargetReza Madadi

By target zone

26% acc · 66%

Head

31% acc · 82%

57% acc · 28%

Body

67% acc · 12%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

32% acc · 91%

Distance

30% acc · 73%

40% acc · 9%

Clinch

64% acc · 27%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Norman Parke rounds

even

Reza Madadi rounds

Round 1Norman Parke edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:55

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:06Control

Round 2Norman Parke edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control1:32

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:37Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control1:59

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:34Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 145

Sig Strikes

33 / 95

30.7%

Sig Str %

33.7%

56 / 154

Total Strikes

40 / 104

1 / 6

TDs

1 / 12

12.5%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

4:26

Ctrl Time

2:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Reza Madadi	6 / 19	7 / 20	0 / 4
1	Norman Parke	12 / 43	12 / 43	0 / 0
2	Reza Madadi	11 / 37	15 / 43	1 / 3
2	Norman Parke	24 / 59	30 / 65	0 / 2
3	Reza Madadi	16 / 39	18 / 41	0 / 5
3	Norman Parke	11 / 43	14 / 46	1 / 4

Norman Parke

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8

Reza Madadi

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7