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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Norman Parke won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1354

Norman ParkevsKazuki TokudomeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · Saturday, July 6, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Norman Parke won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNorman Parke: Well-roundedvsKazuki Tokudome: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Norman Parke wins(73.9%)

Actual result: Norman Parke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Norman Parke at -131 American odds

+$76 profit

$176 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Norman Parke has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Norman Parke

Red Corner

Kazuki Tokudome

Blue Corner

-131

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+121

(45%)

1490

Elo

1354

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Norman Parke

oldest →

KOvs Naoyuki Kotani · Jul 14

vs Gleison Tibau · Jan 15

vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 15

vs Reza Madadi · Oct 15

vs Rustam Khabilov · Feb 16

latest

Kazuki TokudomeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cristiano Marcello · Mar 13

vs Yui Chul Nam · Mar 14

SUBvs Johnny Case · Sep 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Norman ParkeMetricKazuki Tokudome

3.06

Strikes / min

2.26

2.88

Strikes absorbed / min

3.63

64%

Strike defense

53%

1.98

TDs / 15 min

2.00

77%

Takedown defense

78%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.18Δ 1.55 — meaningful gap-1.37

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Norman ParkeKazuki Tokudome

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Norman Parke(8 fights)Kazuki Tokudome(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +136.8|Blue -136.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +78.0|Blue -78.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Norman ParkeTargetKazuki Tokudome

By target zone

48% acc · 74%

Head

24% acc · 60%

82% acc · 13%

Body

80% acc · 9%

75% acc · 13%

Leg

100% acc · 30%

By position

50% acc · 88%

Distance

33% acc · 93%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

50% acc · 7%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Norman Parke rounds

even

Kazuki Tokudome rounds

Round 1Norman Parke edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control1:03

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:35Control

Round 2Norman Parke edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns2

Control1:52

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Norman Parke edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control1:47

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

68 / 128

Sig Strikes

43 / 128

52%

Sig Str %

32.7%

77 / 137

Total Strikes

59 / 149

2 / 13

TDs

1 / 5

33.3%

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

4:42

Ctrl Time

2:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kazuki Tokudome	13 / 39	21 / 50	0 / 1
1	Norman Parke	21 / 35	24 / 38	0 / 3
2	Kazuki Tokudome	20 / 49	23 / 54	0 / 2
2	Norman Parke	33 / 55	36 / 58	2 / 2
3	Kazuki Tokudome	10 / 40	15 / 45	1 / 2
3	Norman Parke	14 / 38	17 / 41	0 / 8

Norman Parke

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8

Kazuki Tokudome

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4