Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Norman Parke won · U-DEC R3
Elo1490
Norman Parke
Elo1491

Norman ParkevsJon TuckUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · Saturday, October 26, 2013Manchester, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Norman Parke won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Norman Parke wins(73.5%)

Actual result: Norman Parke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Norman Parke at -175 American odds

+$57 profit

$157 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Norman Parke has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Norman Parke (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Norman Parke
Red Corner
VS
Jon Tuck
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
1490
Elo
1491
39
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Norman Parke
oldest →
W
KOvs Naoyuki Kotani · Jul 14
L
vs Gleison Tibau · Jan 15
L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 15
W
vs Reza Madadi · Oct 15
L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Feb 16
latest
Jon Tuck
oldest →
W
SUBvs Tae Hyun Bang · May 15
L
vs Josh Emmett · May 16
L
vs Damien Brown · Nov 16
W
SUBvs Takanori Gomi · Jun 17
L
vs Drew Dober · Aug 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Norman ParkeMetricJon Tuck
3.06
Strikes / min
3.00
2.88
Strikes absorbed / min
3.74
64%
Strike defense
60%
1.98
TDs / 15 min
0.42
77%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.74

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1537 vs 1518Strikes55.0 vs 36.0Takedowns4.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 2.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Norman ParkeJon Tuck

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Norman Parke(8 fights)Jon Tuck(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -238.0|Blue +238.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Norman ParkeTargetJon Tuck

By target zone

66
30% acc · 81%
Head
35
26% acc · 52%
14
74% acc · 17%
Body
13
72% acc · 19%
1
25% acc · 1%
Leg
19
83% acc · 28%

By position

80
33% acc · 99%
Distance
64
37% acc · 96%
1
25% acc · 1%
Clinch
3
50% acc · 4%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Norman Parke rounds
0
even
1
Jon Tuck rounds
Round 1Jon Tuck edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control0:08
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Norman Parke edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Norman Parke edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
81 / 246
Sig Strikes
67 / 178
31.7%
Sig Str %
38%
82 / 248
Total Strikes
69 / 180
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 1
100%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:08
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jon Tuck23 / 5025 / 520 / 10
1Norman Parke12 / 3912 / 391 / 10
2Jon Tuck20 / 5620 / 560 / 00
2Norman Parke40 / 11041 / 1110 / 00
3Jon Tuck24 / 7224 / 720 / 00
3Norman Parke29 / 9729 / 980 / 00

Norman Parke

StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8

Jon Tuck

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9