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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Norma Dumont won · U-DEC R3

Elo1516

Elo1497

Norma DumontvsGermaine de RandamieUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Saturday, April 6, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Norma Dumont won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNorma Dumont: Elusive strikervsGermaine de Randamie: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Norma Dumont wins(72.5%)

Actual result: Norma Dumont wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Norma Dumont at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Germaine de Randamie has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Norma Dumont

Red Corner

Germaine de Randamie

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1516

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

170.18 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Norma Dumont

oldest →

vs Karol Rosa · Apr 23

vs Chelsea Chandler · Jul 23

vs Irene Aldana · Sep 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 25

DECvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 26

latest

Germaine de Randamie

oldest →

KOvs Anna Elmose · May 16

vs Holly Holm · Feb 17

vs Raquel Pennington · Nov 18

vs Amanda Nunes · Dec 19

SUBvs Julianna Pena · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Norma DumontMetricGermaine de Randamie

3.85

Strikes / min

2.57

2.33

Strikes absorbed / min

2.00

64%

Strike defense

65%

1.43

TDs / 15 min

0.00

71%

Takedown defense

65%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.52evenly matched on net striking+0.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Norma DumontGermaine de Randamie

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Norma Dumont(10 fights)Germaine de Randamie(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +19.0|Blue -19.0

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -1015.0|Blue +1015.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Norma DumontTargetGermaine de Randamie

By target zone

29% acc · 55%

Head

33% acc · 44%

71% acc · 45%

Body

88% acc · 44%

0% acc

Leg

50% acc · 13%

By position

20% acc · 36%

Distance

33% acc · 50%

83% acc · 45%

Clinch

89% acc · 50%

67% acc · 18%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Norma Dumont rounds

even

Germaine de Randamie rounds

Round 1Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns2

Control3:49

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control1:44

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:12Control

Round 3Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns3

Control4:31

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 29

Sig Strikes

16 / 33

31.3%

Sig Str %

54.7%

49 / 76

Total Strikes

91 / 126

6 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

77.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

10:04

Ctrl Time

2:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Germaine de Randamie	3 / 4	23 / 26	0 / 0
1	Norma Dumont	0 / 5	15 / 22	2 / 2
2	Germaine de Randamie	9 / 20	32 / 48	0 / 0
2	Norma Dumont	8 / 18	28 / 41	1 / 3
3	Germaine de Randamie	4 / 9	36 / 52	0 / 0
3	Norma Dumont	3 / 6	6 / 13	3 / 3

Norma Dumont

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12

Germaine de Randamie

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9