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Women's Featherweight

3 Rounds

Norma Dumont won · U-DEC R3

Elo1516

Elo1495

Norma DumontvsDanyelle WolfUFC Prediction Result

UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Saturday, September 10, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Norma Dumont won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Norma Dumont wins(67.5%)

Actual result: Norma Dumont wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Norma Dumont at -360 American odds

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Norma Dumont has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Norma Dumont

Red Corner

Danyelle Wolf

Blue Corner

-360

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+295

(25%)

1516

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'11"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Norma Dumont

oldest →

vs Chelsea Chandler · Jul 23

vs Germaine de Randamie · Apr 24

vs Irene Aldana · Sep 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 25

DECvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 26

latest

Danyelle WolfNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Norma DumontMetricDanyelle Wolf

3.85

Strikes / min

2.37

2.33

Strikes absorbed / min

4.57

64%

Strike defense

47%

1.43

TDs / 15 min

0.00

71%

Takedown defense

77%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.52Δ 3.72 — meaningful gap-2.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Norma DumontDanyelle Wolf

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Norma Dumont(10 fights)Danyelle Wolf(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +21.5|Blue -21.5

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Norma DumontTargetDanyelle Wolf

By target zone

40% acc · 62%

Head

15% acc · 60%

80% acc · 15%

Body

54% acc · 35%

60% acc · 23%

Leg

50% acc · 5%

By position

39% acc · 63%

Distance

20% acc · 90%

86% acc · 12%

Clinch

100% acc · 10%

68% acc · 25%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Norma Dumont rounds

even

Danyelle Wolf rounds

Round 1Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control2:04

Knockdowns1

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control4:37

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 110

Sig Strikes

20 / 95

54%

Sig Str %

19%

99 / 161

Total Strikes

44 / 120

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:41

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Danyelle Wolf	9 / 48	9 / 48	0 / 0
1	Norma Dumont	17 / 46	17 / 46	0 / 0
2	Danyelle Wolf	10 / 40	26 / 56	0 / 0
2	Norma Dumont	22 / 48	28 / 55	1 / 1
3	Danyelle Wolf	1 / 7	9 / 16	0 / 0
3	Norma Dumont	13 / 16	54 / 60	1 / 1

Norma Dumont

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12

Danyelle Wolf

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights1