← All fights/Event page

Women's Featherweight

3 Rounds

Norma Dumont won · U-DEC R3

Elo1516

Elo1502

Norma DumontvsChelsea ChandlerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Saturday, July 15, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Norma Dumont won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Norma Dumont wins(58.4%)

Actual result: Norma Dumont wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Norma Dumont at -142 American odds

+$70 profit

$170 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Norma Dumont has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Norma Dumont has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Chelsea Chandler (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Norma Dumont

Red Corner

Chelsea Chandler

Blue Corner

-142

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1516

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'8"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Norma Dumont

oldest →

vs Karol Rosa · Apr 23

vs Germaine de Randamie · Apr 24

vs Irene Aldana · Sep 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 25

DECvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 26

latest

Chelsea Chandler

oldest →

KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Oct 22

vs Josiane Nunes · Mar 24

vs Yana Santos · Aug 24

KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 25

SUBvs Priscila Cachoeira · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Norma DumontMetricChelsea Chandler

3.85

Strikes / min

3.55

2.33

Strikes absorbed / min

4.44

64%

Strike defense

40%

1.43

TDs / 15 min

0.87

71%

Takedown defense

28%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.52Δ 2.41 — meaningful gap-0.89

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Norma DumontChelsea Chandler

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Norma Dumont(10 fights)Chelsea Chandler(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +14.2|Blue -14.2

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -203.0|Blue +203.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Norma DumontTargetChelsea Chandler

By target zone

51% acc · 64%

Head

27% acc · 64%

100% acc · 26%

Body

86% acc · 27%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

67% acc · 9%

By position

57% acc · 60%

Distance

30% acc · 59%

83% acc · 21%

Clinch

53% acc · 41%

60% acc · 19%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Norma Dumont rounds

even

Chelsea Chandler rounds

Round 1Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control2:24

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:20Control

Round 2Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control2:47

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:30Control

Round 3Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control3:47

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:40Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 76

Sig Strikes

22 / 61

60.7%

Sig Str %

35.7%

98 / 141

Total Strikes

72 / 124

3 / 3

TDs

1 / 3

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

8:58

Ctrl Time

2:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chelsea Chandler	8 / 20	31 / 51	0 / 2
1	Norma Dumont	18 / 24	44 / 52	0 / 0
2	Chelsea Chandler	9 / 25	23 / 42	0 / 0
2	Norma Dumont	22 / 38	31 / 51	1 / 1
3	Chelsea Chandler	5 / 16	18 / 31	1 / 1
3	Norma Dumont	7 / 14	23 / 38	2 / 2

Norma Dumont

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12

Chelsea Chandler

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6