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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Demetrious Johnson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1491

Norifumi YamamotovsDemetrious JohnsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · Saturday, February 5, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Demetrious Johnson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Norifumi Yamamoto wins(52.1%)

Actual result: Demetrious Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Norifumi Yamamoto at -115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Demetrious Johnson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Demetrious Johnson has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Norifumi Yamamoto (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Norifumi Yamamoto

Red Corner

Demetrious Johnson

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1351

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'3"

167.64 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Norifumi YamamotoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Darren Uyenoyama · Nov 11

SUBvs Vaughan Lee · Feb 12

latest

Demetrious Johnson

oldest →

KOvs Henry Cejudo · Apr 16

vs Tim Elliott · Dec 16

SUBvs Wilson Reis · Apr 17

SUBvs Ray Borg · Oct 17

vs Henry Cejudo · Aug 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Norifumi YamamotoMetricDemetrious Johnson

2.09

Strikes / min

3.43

2.01

Strikes absorbed / min

1.66

57%

Strike defense

67%

0.41

TDs / 15 min

3.35

45%

Takedown defense

65%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.08Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+1.77

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Norifumi Yamamoto(3 fights)Demetrious Johnson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -139.8|Blue +139.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Norifumi YamamotoTargetDemetrious Johnson

By target zone

20% acc · 75%

Head

23% acc · 45%

60% acc · 19%

Body

80% acc · 32%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

64% acc · 24%

By position

24% acc · 88%

Distance

28% acc · 61%

40% acc · 13%

Clinch

71% acc · 32%

0% acc

Ground

100% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Norifumi Yamamoto rounds

even

Demetrious Johnson rounds

Round 1Demetrious Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:21

16Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

1:13Control

Round 2Demetrious Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:02

11Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 3Demetrious Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:03

11Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

1:57Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 65

Sig Strikes

38 / 102

24%

Sig Str %

36.7%

17 / 66

Total Strikes

70 / 134

0 / 2

TDs

10 / 15

TD %

68.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:26

Ctrl Time

3:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Demetrious Johnson	16 / 35	27 / 46	3 / 4
1	Norifumi Yamamoto	8 / 22	8 / 22	0 / 0
2	Demetrious Johnson	11 / 34	14 / 37	3 / 6
2	Norifumi Yamamoto	5 / 27	6 / 28	0 / 2
3	Demetrious Johnson	11 / 33	29 / 51	4 / 5
3	Norifumi Yamamoto	3 / 16	3 / 16	0 / 0

Norifumi Yamamoto

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights3

Demetrious Johnson

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17