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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Nordine Taleb won · U-DEC R3
Elo1492
Nordine Taleb
Elo1355
Vik Grujic

Nordine TalebvsVik GrujicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · Wednesday, April 16, 2014Quebec City, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Nordine Taleb won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nordine Taleb wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Nordine Taleb wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nordine Taleb at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Nordine Taleb has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Nordine Taleb has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Nordine Taleb
Red Corner
VS
Vik Grujic
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
1492
Elo
1355
45
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nordine Taleb
oldest →
W
KOvs Danny Roberts · Dec 17
L
SUBvs Claudio Silva · May 18
L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Oct 18
W
vs Kyle Prepolec · May 19
L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Sep 19
latest
Vik GrujicL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Chris Indich · Jun 14
L
KOvs Chris Clements · Nov 14
L
vs Brendan O'Reilly · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nordine TalebMetricVik Grujic
3.66
Strikes / min
2.24
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
3.39
66%
Strike defense
41%
1.94
TDs / 15 min
1.18
73%
Takedown defense
26%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04Δ 2.19 — meaningful gap-1.15
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Nordine Taleb(10 fights)Vik Grujic(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +137.1|Blue -137.1
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nordine TalebTargetVik Grujic

By target zone

24
56% acc · 50%
Head
3
11% acc · 75%
22
85% acc · 46%
Body
1
20% acc · 25%
2
33% acc · 4%
Leg
0

By position

9
35% acc · 19%
Distance
2
7% acc · 50%
9
100% acc · 19%
Clinch
2
67% acc · 50%
30
75% acc · 63%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Nordine Taleb rounds
0
even
0
Vik Grujic rounds
Round 1Nordine Taleb edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control2:36
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Nordine Taleb edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns2
Control4:35
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Nordine Taleb edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control3:30
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
48 / 75
Sig Strikes
4 / 32
63%
Sig Str %
8%
131 / 161
Total Strikes
44 / 72
4 / 4
TDs
0 / 1
100%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
10:41
Ctrl Time
0:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Vik Grujic3 / 196 / 220 / 00
1Nordine Taleb11 / 2429 / 431 / 10
2Vik Grujic0 / 225 / 270 / 00
2Nordine Taleb22 / 2655 / 592 / 20
3Vik Grujic1 / 1113 / 230 / 10
3Nordine Taleb15 / 2547 / 591 / 10

Nordine Taleb

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights12

Vik Grujic

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4