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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sean Strickland won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1492
Nordine Taleb
Elo1530
Sean Strickland

Nordine TalebvsSean StricklandUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · Saturday, October 27, 2018Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada

Official fight result

Sean Strickland won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:10

Style matchupNordine Taleb: Elusive strikervsSean Strickland: Pressure fighter

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Sean Strickland wins(59.4%)

Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Strickland at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Nordine Taleb
Red Corner
VS
Sean Strickland
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
1492
Elo
1530
45
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nordine Taleb
oldest →
W
vs Oliver Enkamp · May 17
W
KOvs Danny Roberts · Dec 17
L
SUBvs Claudio Silva · May 18
W
vs Kyle Prepolec · May 19
L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Sep 19
latest
Sean StricklandW2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24
W
vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24
L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25
W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26
W
DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nordine TalebMetricSean Strickland
3.66
Strikes / min
5.98
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
4.53
66%
Strike defense
60%
1.94
TDs / 15 min
0.66
73%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04evenly matched on net striking+1.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1549 vs 1553Strikes34.3 vs 51.0Takedowns1.8 vs 1.2Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.44Form-0.0 vs -0.2
Nordine TalebSean Strickland

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Nordine Taleb(10 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -38.5|Blue +38.5
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -15.0|Blue +15.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nordine TalebTargetSean Strickland

By target zone

11
23% acc · 23%
Head
60
35% acc · 92%
12
52% acc · 25%
Body
4
100% acc · 6%
25
100% acc · 52%
Leg
1
100% acc · 2%

By position

48
51% acc · 100%
Distance
51
34% acc · 78%
0
0% acc
Clinch
3
60% acc · 5%
0
Ground
11
55% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Nordine Taleb rounds
0
even
1
Sean Strickland rounds
Round 1Nordine Taleb edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
42Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
48 / 95
Sig Strikes
65 / 177
47.5%
Sig Str %
37%
49 / 96
Total Strikes
68 / 180
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:37

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Sean Strickland23 / 9323 / 930 / 00
1Nordine Taleb35 / 6235 / 620 / 00
2Sean Strickland42 / 8445 / 870 / 00
2Nordine Taleb13 / 3314 / 340 / 00

Nordine Taleb

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights12

Sean Strickland

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25