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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Santiago Ponzinibbio won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1477

Nordine TalebvsSantiago PonzinibbioUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · Sunday, February 19, 2017Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

Official fight result

Santiago Ponzinibbio won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNordine Taleb: Elusive strikervsSantiago Ponzinibbio: Pressure fighter

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Nordine Taleb wins(77.1%)

Actual result: Santiago Ponzinibbio wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nordine Taleb at +265 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Nordine Taleb

Red Corner

Santiago Ponzinibbio

Blue Corner

+265

(27%)

Vegas Odds

-325

(76%)

1492

Elo

1477

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nordine Taleb

oldest →

KOvs Danny Roberts · Dec 17

SUBvs Claudio Silva · May 18

KOvs Sean Strickland · Oct 18

vs Kyle Prepolec · May 19

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Sep 19

latest

Santiago PonzinibbioL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Kevin Holland · Apr 23

vs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 24

KOvs Carlston Harris · Jan 25

KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · May 25

KOvs Sam Patterson · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nordine TalebMetricSantiago Ponzinibbio

3.66

Strikes / min

4.78

2.62

Strikes absorbed / min

4.68

66%

Strike defense

61%

1.94

TDs / 15 min

0.60

73%

Takedown defense

71%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nordine TalebSantiago Ponzinibbio

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nordine Taleb(10 fights)Santiago Ponzinibbio(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +14.8|Blue -14.8

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +154.0|Blue -154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nordine TalebTargetSantiago Ponzinibbio

By target zone

22% acc · 31%

Head

27% acc · 79%

35% acc · 17%

Body

56% acc · 9%

81% acc · 52%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

40% acc · 100%

Distance

30% acc · 91%

Clinch

Ground

45% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nordine Taleb rounds

even

Santiago Ponzinibbio rounds

Round 1Nordine Taleb edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Santiago Ponzinibbio edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:58Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 121

Sig Strikes

53 / 171

37%

Sig Str %

29%

57 / 130

Total Strikes

65 / 183

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Santiago Ponzinibbio	7 / 37	7 / 37	0 / 0
1	Nordine Taleb	14 / 37	14 / 37	0 / 0
2	Santiago Ponzinibbio	20 / 53	32 / 65	0 / 0
2	Nordine Taleb	8 / 29	17 / 38	0 / 0
3	Santiago Ponzinibbio	26 / 81	26 / 81	0 / 0
3	Nordine Taleb	26 / 55	26 / 55	0 / 0

Nordine Taleb

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12

Santiago Ponzinibbio

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights21