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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Muslim Salikhov won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1492
Nordine Taleb
Elo1507
Muslim Salikhov

Nordine TalebvsMuslim SalikhovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Saturday, September 7, 2019Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Muslim Salikhov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:26

Style matchupNordine Taleb: Elusive strikervsMuslim Salikhov: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Nordine Taleb wins(71.9%)

Actual result: Muslim Salikhov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nordine Taleb at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Nordine Taleb has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nordine Taleb
Red Corner
VS
Muslim Salikhov
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
1492
Elo
1507
45
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nordine Taleb
oldest →
W
vs Oliver Enkamp · May 17
W
KOvs Danny Roberts · Dec 17
L
SUBvs Claudio Silva · May 18
L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Oct 18
W
vs Kyle Prepolec · May 19
latest
Muslim Salikhov
oldest →
L
KOvs Randy Brown · Feb 24
W
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24
W
KOvs Song Kenan · Nov 24
W
KOvs Carlos Leal · Jul 25
L
KOvs Uros Medic · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nordine TalebMetricMuslim Salikhov
3.66
Strikes / min
3.37
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
66%
Strike defense
62%
1.94
TDs / 15 min
1.07
73%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1547 vs 1502Strikes3.7 vs 2.9Takedowns1.9 vs 1.2Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs 0.2
Nordine TalebMuslim Salikhov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Nordine Taleb(10 fights)Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -15.7|Blue +15.7
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -385.0|Blue +385.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nordine TalebTargetMuslim Salikhov

By target zone

3
19% acc · 50%
Head
1
10% acc · 10%
0
0% acc
Body
2
33% acc · 20%
3
60% acc · 50%
Leg
7
100% acc · 70%

By position

6
24% acc · 100%
Distance
10
43% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Nordine Taleb rounds
0
even
1
Muslim Salikhov rounds
Round 1Muslim Salikhov edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
6 / 26
Sig Strikes
10 / 23
23%
Sig Str %
43%
6 / 26
Total Strikes
10 / 23
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Muslim Salikhov10 / 2310 / 230 / 00
1Nordine Taleb6 / 266 / 260 / 00

Nordine Taleb

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights12

Muslim Salikhov

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14