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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Nordine Taleb won · Decision R3
Elo1492
Nordine Taleb
Elo1495
Li Jingliang

Nordine TalebvsLi JingliangUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · Saturday, October 4, 2014Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

Official fight result

Nordine Taleb won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNordine Taleb: Elusive strikervsLi Jingliang: Pressure fighter

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Li Jingliang wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Nordine Taleb wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Li Jingliang at +380 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Nordine Taleb has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Nordine Taleb
Red Corner
VS
Li Jingliang
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+380
(21%)
1492
Elo
1495
45
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nordine Taleb
oldest →
W
KOvs Danny Roberts · Dec 17
L
SUBvs Claudio Silva · May 18
L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Oct 18
W
vs Kyle Prepolec · May 19
L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Sep 19
latest
Li JingliangL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21
L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21
W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22
L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22
L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nordine TalebMetricLi Jingliang
3.66
Strikes / min
4.46
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
3.95
66%
Strike defense
56%
1.94
TDs / 15 min
1.19
73%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1519 vs 1519Strikes48.0 vs 61.0Takedowns4.0 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Nordine TalebLi Jingliang

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Nordine Taleb(10 fights)Li Jingliang(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -3.1|Blue +3.1
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +38.0|Blue -38.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nordine TalebTargetLi Jingliang

By target zone

49
51% acc · 74%
Head
22
19% acc · 51%
7
78% acc · 11%
Body
2
50% acc · 5%
10
100% acc · 15%
Leg
19
76% acc · 44%

By position

61
57% acc · 92%
Distance
40
28% acc · 93%
5
83% acc · 8%
Clinch
3
75% acc · 7%
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Nordine Taleb rounds
0
even
0
Li Jingliang rounds
Round 1Nordine Taleb edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control0:08
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Nordine Taleb edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control0:49
12Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:34Control
Round 3Nordine Taleb edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control1:32
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
66 / 115
Sig Strikes
43 / 147
57.3%
Sig Str %
29%
92 / 141
Total Strikes
57 / 165
2 / 4
TDs
2 / 8
66.7%
TD %
16.7%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:29
Ctrl Time
0:40

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Li Jingliang19 / 5428 / 650 / 30
1Nordine Taleb28 / 4729 / 481 / 10
2Li Jingliang12 / 5316 / 592 / 40
2Nordine Taleb19 / 3825 / 441 / 10
3Li Jingliang12 / 4013 / 410 / 10
3Nordine Taleb19 / 3038 / 490 / 20

Nordine Taleb

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights12

Li Jingliang

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17