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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Nordine Taleb won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1459

Nordine TalebvsKyle PrepolecUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · Saturday, May 4, 2019Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Nordine Taleb won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNordine Taleb: Elusive strikervsKyle Prepolec: Striker

Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.

Model Prediction: Nordine Taleb wins(73.0%)

Actual result: Nordine Taleb wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nordine Taleb at -420 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nordine Taleb enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Nordine Taleb has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Nordine Taleb has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Prepolec (53.5%).
Nordine Taleb has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nordine Taleb

Red Corner

Kyle Prepolec

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+335

(23%)

1492

Elo

1459

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nordine TalebL3 streak

oldest →

vs Oliver Enkamp · May 17

KOvs Danny Roberts · Dec 17

SUBvs Claudio Silva · May 18

KOvs Sean Strickland · Oct 18

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Sep 19

latest

Kyle PrepolecL3 streak

oldest →

vs Austin Hubbard · Sep 19

SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · May 25

KOvs Drew Dober · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nordine TalebMetricKyle Prepolec

3.66

Strikes / min

3.25

2.62

Strikes absorbed / min

5.69

66%

Strike defense

48%

1.94

TDs / 15 min

0.00

73%

Takedown defense

45%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04Δ 3.48 — meaningful gap-2.44

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nordine TalebKyle Prepolec

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nordine Taleb(10 fights)Kyle Prepolec(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +32.7|Blue -32.7

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -47.4|Blue +47.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nordine TalebTargetKyle Prepolec

By target zone

26% acc · 36%

Head

24% acc · 52%

69% acc · 30%

Body

73% acc · 42%

84% acc · 34%

Leg

30% acc · 6%

By position

45% acc · 99%

Distance

34% acc · 98%

Clinch

50% acc · 2%

50% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nordine Taleb rounds

even

Kyle Prepolec rounds

Round 1Nordine Taleb edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Nordine Taleb edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Nordine Taleb edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:03

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

90 / 201

Sig Strikes

52 / 153

45.7%

Sig Str %

32.3%

90 / 201

Total Strikes

53 / 154

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kyle Prepolec	23 / 56	23 / 56	0 / 0
1	Nordine Taleb	25 / 64	25 / 64	0 / 0
2	Kyle Prepolec	20 / 59	20 / 59	0 / 1
2	Nordine Taleb	31 / 81	31 / 81	0 / 0
3	Kyle Prepolec	9 / 38	10 / 39	0 / 1
3	Nordine Taleb	34 / 56	34 / 56	0 / 0

Nordine Taleb

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12

Kyle Prepolec

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4