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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Nordine Taleb won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1492

Elo1467

Nordine TalebvsDanny RobertsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, December 16, 2017Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada

Official fight result

Nordine Taleb won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:59

Style matchupNordine Taleb: Elusive strikervsDanny Roberts: Striker

Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.

Model Prediction: Nordine Taleb wins(70.4%)

Actual result: Nordine Taleb wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nordine Taleb at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Danny Roberts enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Nordine Taleb has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Nordine Taleb has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Danny Roberts (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nordine Taleb

Red Corner

Danny Roberts

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1492

Elo

1467

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nordine Taleb

oldest →

vs Oliver Enkamp · May 17

SUBvs Claudio Silva · May 18

KOvs Sean Strickland · Oct 18

vs Kyle Prepolec · May 19

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Sep 19

latest

Danny RobertsL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Zelim Imadaev · Nov 19

vs Ramazan Emeev · Oct 21

vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 22

KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 22

KOvs Jonny Parsons · Jul 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nordine TalebMetricDanny Roberts

3.66

Strikes / min

3.18

2.62

Strikes absorbed / min

3.73

66%

Strike defense

50%

1.94

TDs / 15 min

0.24

73%

Takedown defense

57%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.55

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nordine TalebDanny Roberts

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nordine Taleb(10 fights)Danny Roberts(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.3|Blue -24.3

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nordine TalebTargetDanny Roberts

By target zone

100% acc · 60%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 20%

Body

100% acc · 20%

Leg

33% acc · 100%

By position

100% acc · 80%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 20%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nordine Taleb rounds

even

Danny Roberts rounds

Round 1Nordine Taleb edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

5 / 5

Sig Strikes

1 / 4

100%

Sig Str %

25%

5 / 5

Total Strikes

1 / 4

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Danny Roberts	1 / 4	1 / 4	0 / 0	0
1	Nordine Taleb	5 / 5	5 / 5	0 / 0	0

Nordine Taleb

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12

Danny Roberts

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14