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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Nordine Taleb won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1490

Nordine TalebvsChris ClementsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · Saturday, April 25, 2015Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Nordine Taleb won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nordine Taleb wins(85.2%)

Actual result: Nordine Taleb wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nordine Taleb at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nordine Taleb has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Nordine Taleb has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Nordine Taleb has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nordine Taleb

Red Corner

Chris Clements

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+175

(36%)

1492

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nordine Taleb

oldest →

KOvs Danny Roberts · Dec 17

SUBvs Claudio Silva · May 18

KOvs Sean Strickland · Oct 18

vs Kyle Prepolec · May 19

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Sep 19

latest

Chris Clements

oldest →

vs Keith Wisniewski · Apr 12

KOvs Stephen Thompson · Sep 13

KOvs Vik Grujic · Nov 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nordine TalebMetricChris Clements

3.66

Strikes / min

3.20

2.62

Strikes absorbed / min

2.37

66%

Strike defense

44%

1.94

TDs / 15 min

0.00

73%

Takedown defense

32%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.83

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nordine TalebChris Clements

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nordine Taleb(10 fights)Chris Clements(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +34.0|Blue -34.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nordine TalebTargetChris Clements

By target zone

52% acc · 72%

Head

10% acc · 24%

70% acc · 19%

Body

63% acc · 29%

75% acc · 8%

Leg

53% acc · 47%

By position

44% acc · 33%

Distance

27% acc · 82%

71% acc · 14%

Clinch

30% acc · 18%

63% acc · 53%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nordine Taleb rounds

even

Chris Clements rounds

Round 1Nordine Taleb edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns2

Control2:28

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Nordine Taleb edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control4:15

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Nordine Taleb edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns3

Control3:19

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 64

Sig Strikes

17 / 62

56%

Sig Str %

23.3%

64 / 97

Total Strikes

29 / 75

6 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

10:02

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chris Clements	12 / 33	18 / 39	0 / 0	0
1	Nordine Taleb	16 / 29	24 / 38	2 / 2	0
2	Chris Clements	3 / 15	7 / 19	0 / 0	1
2	Nordine Taleb	11 / 18	25 / 35	1 / 1	0
3	Chris Clements	2 / 14	4 / 17	0 / 0	0
3	Nordine Taleb	9 / 17	15 / 24	3 / 3	0

Nordine Taleb

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12

Chris Clements

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4