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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Joselyne Edwards won · SUB R2

Elo1489

Elo1567

Nora CornollevsJoselyne EdwardsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Saturday, February 21, 2026Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Joselyne Edwards won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:44

Model Prediction: Joselyne Edwards wins(82.6%)

Actual result: Joselyne Edwards wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joselyne Edwards at -300 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joselyne Edwards enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Joselyne Edwards has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Nora Cornolle

Red Corner

Joselyne Edwards

Blue Corner

+245

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-300

(75%)

1489

Elo

1567

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nora Cornolle

oldest →

vs Joselyne Edwards · Sep 23

KOvs Melissa Mullins · Apr 24

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Sep 24

SUBvs Hailey Cowan · Apr 25

vs Karol Rosa · Aug 25

latest

Joselyne EdwardsW4 streak

oldest →

vs Ailin Perez · Jun 24

SUBvs Tamires Vidal · Oct 24

KOvs Chelsea Chandler · Apr 25

KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Aug 25

DECvs Norma Dumont · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nora CornolleMetricJoselyne Edwards

2.73

Strikes / min

4.61

2.04

Strikes absorbed / min

3.26

56%

Strike defense

50%

0.22

TDs / 15 min

1.29

47%

Takedown defense

62%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.69evenly matched on net striking+1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nora CornolleJoselyne Edwards

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nora Cornolle(6 fights)Joselyne Edwards(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -77.8|Blue +77.8

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nora CornolleTargetJoselyne Edwards

By target zone

41% acc · 45%

Head

71% acc · 89%

86% acc · 30%

Body

40% acc · 11%

83% acc · 25%

Leg

0% acc

By position

42% acc · 40%

Distance

31% acc · 21%

75% acc · 60%

Clinch

50% acc · 11%

Ground

100% acc · 68%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nora Cornolle rounds

even

Joselyne Edwards rounds

Round 1Nora Cornolle edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:23

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:35Control

Round 2Joselyne Edwards edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:58Control

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 35

Sig Strikes

19 / 30

60.5%

Sig Str %

60%

37 / 58

Total Strikes

44 / 63

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 4

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:23

Ctrl Time

4:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joselyne Edwards	5 / 13	26 / 39	0 / 2	0
1	Nora Cornolle	16 / 29	28 / 46	0 / 0	0
2	Joselyne Edwards	14 / 17	18 / 24	2 / 2	1
2	Nora Cornolle	4 / 6	9 / 12	0 / 0	0

Nora Cornolle

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6

Joselyne Edwards

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12