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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jacqueline Cavalcanti won · S-DEC R3

Elo1489

Elo1538

Nora CornollevsJacqueline CavalcantiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Saturday, September 28, 2024Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Jacqueline Cavalcanti won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jacqueline Cavalcanti wins(61.5%)

Actual result: Jacqueline Cavalcanti wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jacqueline Cavalcanti at -205 American odds

+$49 profit

$149 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jacqueline Cavalcanti has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jacqueline Cavalcanti has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Nora Cornolle

Red Corner

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-205

(67%)

1489

Elo

1538

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nora CornolleL2 streak

oldest →

vs Joselyne Edwards · Sep 23

KOvs Melissa Mullins · Apr 24

SUBvs Hailey Cowan · Apr 25

vs Karol Rosa · Aug 25

SUBvs Joselyne Edwards · Feb 26

latest

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

oldest →

vs Zarah Fairn · Sep 23

vs Josiane Nunes · Aug 24

vs Julia Avila · Feb 25

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Nov 25

DECvs Ketlen Vieira · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nora CornolleMetricJacqueline Cavalcanti

2.73

Strikes / min

5.65

2.04

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

56%

Strike defense

68%

0.22

TDs / 15 min

0.00

47%

Takedown defense

88%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.69Δ 1.79 — meaningful gap+2.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nora CornolleJacqueline Cavalcanti

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nora Cornolle(6 fights)Jacqueline Cavalcanti(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -48.5|Blue +48.5

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +140.0|Blue -140.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nora CornolleTargetJacqueline Cavalcanti

By target zone

23% acc · 28%

Head

24% acc · 52%

74% acc · 31%

Body

80% acc · 22%

85% acc · 41%

Leg

64% acc · 26%

By position

43% acc · 76%

Distance

33% acc · 89%

68% acc · 24%

Clinch

75% acc · 11%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nora Cornolle rounds

even

Jacqueline Cavalcanti rounds

Round 1Nora Cornolle edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control1:41

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:34Control

Round 2Nora Cornolle edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control1:51

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 3Jacqueline Cavalcanti edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:24

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 114

Sig Strikes

54 / 154

50%

Sig Str %

32.7%

80 / 156

Total Strikes

87 / 194

1 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

33.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:56

Ctrl Time

1:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	11 / 43	25 / 60	0 / 0
1	Nora Cornolle	16 / 27	29 / 48	1 / 1
2	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	13 / 41	24 / 54	0 / 0
2	Nora Cornolle	17 / 32	29 / 50	0 / 5
3	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	30 / 70	38 / 80	0 / 0
3	Nora Cornolle	21 / 55	22 / 58	0 / 3

Nora Cornolle

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights5