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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Diego Rivas won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1490

Elo1365

Noad LahatvsDiego RivasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · Saturday, February 6, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Diego Rivas won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:23

Model Prediction: Noad Lahat wins(65.3%)

Actual result: Diego Rivas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Noad Lahat at -350 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Diego Rivas is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Noad Lahat has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Noad Lahat has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Diego Rivas has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Noad Lahat

Red Corner

Diego Rivas

Blue Corner

-350

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+290

(26%)

1490

Elo

1365

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Noad LahatW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Godofredo Pepey · Mar 14

vs Steven Siler · Jul 14

vs Niklas Backstrom · Jun 15

latest

Diego RivasL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Rodolfo Rubio · Nov 14

vs Jose Quinonez · Aug 17

vs Guido Cannetti · May 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Noad LahatMetricDiego Rivas

2.79

Strikes / min

1.37

1.47

Strikes absorbed / min

2.14

63%

Strike defense

52%

2.37

TDs / 15 min

1.79

16%

Takedown defense

64%

2.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.32Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap-0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Noad LahatDiego Rivas

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Noad Lahat(4 fights)Diego Rivas(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +125.1|Blue -125.1

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -224.0|Blue +224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Noad LahatTargetDiego Rivas

By target zone

44% acc · 57%

Head

56% acc · 100%

67% acc · 29%

Body

100% acc · 14%

Leg

By position

43% acc · 43%

Distance

20% acc · 20%

100% acc · 14%

Clinch

60% acc · 43%

Ground

100% acc · 80%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Noad Lahat rounds

even

Diego Rivas rounds

Round 1Noad Lahat edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control4:00

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 2Diego Rivas edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 13

Sig Strikes

5 / 9

75%

Sig Str %

41.5%

22 / 36

Total Strikes

7 / 12

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

4:00

Ctrl Time

0:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Diego Rivas	0 / 3	2 / 6	1 / 1	0
1	Noad Lahat	6 / 12	21 / 35	1 / 1	3
2	Diego Rivas	5 / 6	5 / 6	0 / 0	0
2	Noad Lahat	1 / 1	1 / 1	0 / 0	0

Noad Lahat

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4

Diego Rivas

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4