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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marco Beltran won · Decision R3
Elo1359
Elo1362

Ning GuangyouvsMarco BeltranUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · Saturday, November 28, 2015Seoul, South Korea

Official fight result

Marco Beltran won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ning Guangyou wins(62.3%)

Actual result: Marco Beltran wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ning Guangyou at -160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Ning Guangyou (53.5%).
  • Marco Beltran has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ning Guangyou
Red Corner
VS
Marco Beltran
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
1359
Elo
1362
33
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'8"
162.56 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ning Guangyou
oldest →
W
DECvs Jianping Yang · Aug 14
W
KOvs Royston Wee · May 15
L
DECvs Marlon Vera · Nov 16
latest
Marco BeltranL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Marlon Vera · Nov 14
W
SUBvs Reginaldo Vieira · Jul 16
L
SUBvs Joe Soto · Nov 16
L
vs Matt Schnell · Oct 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ning GuangyouMetricMarco Beltran
—
Strikes / min
2.07
—
Strikes absorbed / min
1.93
—
Strike defense
63%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.70
—
Takedown defense
46%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1533 vs 1516Strikes38.5 vs 31.0Takedowns2.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Ning GuangyouMarco Beltran

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Ning Guangyou(4 fights)Marco Beltran(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -3.5|Blue +3.5
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -182.0|Blue +182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Ning Guangyou

StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights3

Marco Beltran

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5