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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Nikolay Veretennikov won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1492

Elo1445

Nikolay VeretennikovvsNiko PriceUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Saturday, February 7, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nikolay Veretennikov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:42

Style matchupNikolay Veretennikov: Well-roundedvsNiko Price: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Niko Price wins(51.3%)

Actual result: Nikolay Veretennikov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Niko Price at +215 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Niko Price enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Nikolay Veretennikov is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Niko Price has lost 55% of fights by KO.
Niko Price is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nikolay Veretennikov has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Nikolay Veretennikov

Red Corner

Niko Price

Blue Corner

-260

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+215

(32%)

1492

Elo

1445

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nikolay VeretennikovL2 streak

oldest →

vs Danny Barlow · Aug 24

KOvs Austin Vanderford · Feb 25

vs Francisco Prado · Jul 25

vs Punahele Soriano · Oct 25

KOvs Khaos Williams · May 26

latest

Niko PriceL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 23

vs Alex Morono · Jun 24

vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24

SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25

SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nikolay VeretennikovMetricNiko Price

2.69

Strikes / min

5.11

3.30

Strikes absorbed / min

5.57

45%

Strike defense

48%

0.42

TDs / 15 min

1.06

62%

Takedown defense

50%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.61evenly matched on net striking-0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nikolay VeretennikovNiko Price

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nikolay Veretennikov(6 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +47.4|Blue -47.4

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nikolay VeretennikovTargetNiko Price

By target zone

55% acc · 63%

Head

37% acc · 78%

86% acc · 32%

Body

100% acc · 11%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

33% acc · 11%

By position

48% acc · 53%

Distance

41% acc · 100%

100% acc · 47%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nikolay Veretennikov rounds

even

Niko Price rounds

Round 1Nikolay Veretennikov edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:17

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 30

Sig Strikes

9 / 23

63%

Sig Str %

39%

20 / 31

Total Strikes

12 / 27

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:17

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Niko Price	9 / 23	12 / 27	0 / 0	0
1	Nikolay Veretennikov	19 / 30	20 / 31	0 / 0	0

Nikolay Veretennikov

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5

Niko Price

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19