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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Niko Price won · U-DEC R3

Elo1445

Elo1478

Niko PricevsAlex MoronoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Saturday, June 1, 2024Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Niko Price won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNiko Price: Pressure fightervsAlex Morono: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Niko Price wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Niko Price wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Niko Price enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Alex Morono enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Niko Price has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Niko Price

Red Corner

Alex Morono

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1445

Elo

1478

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

193.04 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Niko PriceL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 23

vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24

SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25

KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26

SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26

latest

Alex MoronoL3 streak

oldest →

vs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 23

vs Court McGee · Apr 24

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25

vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Niko PriceMetricAlex Morono

5.11

Strikes / min

4.90

5.57

Strikes absorbed / min

4.88

48%

Strike defense

55%

1.06

TDs / 15 min

0.32

50%

Takedown defense

47%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Niko PriceAlex Morono

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Niko Price(10 fights)Alex Morono(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -32.6|Blue +32.6

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +273.0|Blue -273.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Niko PriceTargetAlex Morono

By target zone

43% acc · 72%

Head

40% acc · 77%

73% acc · 22%

Body

87% acc · 14%

60% acc · 6%

Leg

82% acc · 9%

By position

43% acc · 72%

Distance

45% acc · 95%

47% acc · 8%

Clinch

67% acc · 2%

91% acc · 19%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Niko Price rounds

even

Alex Morono rounds

Round 1Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control1:10

34Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:29Control

Round 2Niko Price edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns3

Control2:04

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 3Niko Price edged it

Sig. strikes58

Takedowns1

Control0:23

41Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

108 / 224

Sig Strikes

96 / 210

45.3%

Sig Str %

46%

138 / 259

Total Strikes

111 / 225

5 / 5

TDs

1 / 1

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:37

Ctrl Time

0:56

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alex Morono	34 / 72	40 / 78	1 / 1
1	Niko Price	16 / 51	21 / 58	1 / 1
2	Alex Morono	21 / 43	30 / 52	0 / 0
2	Niko Price	34 / 65	50 / 83	3 / 3
3	Alex Morono	41 / 95	41 / 95	0 / 0
3	Niko Price	58 / 108	67 / 118	1 / 1

Niko Price

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19

Alex Morono

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights23