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Lightweight

3 Rounds

David Teymur won · U-DEC R3

Elo1395

Elo1491

Nik LentzvsDavid TeymurUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · Friday, June 1, 2018Utica, New York, USA

Official fight result

David Teymur won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNik Lentz: WrestlervsDavid Teymur: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: David Teymur wins(58.7%)

Actual result: David Teymur wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

David Teymur at -300 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
David Teymur has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors David Teymur (53.5%).
David Teymur has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nik Lentz

Red Corner

David Teymur

Blue Corner

+250

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-300

(75%)

1395

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'9"

172.72 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nik LentzL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18

vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19

KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19

vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20

vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21

latest

David Teymur

oldest →

KOvs Martin Svensson · Feb 16

KOvs Jason Novelli · Aug 16

vs Lando Vannata · Mar 17

vs Drakkar Klose · Dec 17

SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Feb 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nik LentzMetricDavid Teymur

3.44

Strikes / min

4.69

3.25

Strikes absorbed / min

3.53

50%

Strike defense

55%

3.30

TDs / 15 min

0.94

43%

Takedown defense

77%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.19evenly matched on net striking+1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nik LentzDavid Teymur

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nik Lentz(10 fights)David Teymur(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -96.6|Blue +96.6

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nik LentzTargetDavid Teymur

By target zone

29% acc · 51%

Head

22% acc · 46%

86% acc · 39%

Body

60% acc · 18%

67% acc · 10%

Leg

92% acc · 36%

By position

42% acc · 100%

Distance

36% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nik Lentz rounds

even

David Teymur rounds

Round 1Nik Lentz edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:35

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2David Teymur edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:02

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3David Teymur edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:07

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

61 / 144

Sig Strikes

67 / 187

41.7%

Sig Str %

35.3%

63 / 146

Total Strikes

72 / 192

0 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:44

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	David Teymur	23 / 63	27 / 67	0 / 0
1	Nik Lentz	25 / 49	26 / 50	0 / 3
2	David Teymur	18 / 56	18 / 56	0 / 0
2	Nik Lentz	15 / 42	15 / 42	0 / 1
3	David Teymur	26 / 68	27 / 69	0 / 0
3	Nik Lentz	21 / 53	22 / 54	0 / 1

Nik Lentz

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights22

David Teymur

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6