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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Nicolas Dalby won · U-DEC R3

Elo1508

Elo1507

Nicolas DalbyvsMuslim SalikhovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Saturday, June 17, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nicolas Dalby won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupNicolas Dalby: Well-roundedvsMuslim Salikhov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Muslim Salikhov wins(56.6%)

Actual result: Nicolas Dalby wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Muslim Salikhov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Nicolas Dalby has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Nicolas Dalby

Red Corner

Muslim Salikhov

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1508

Elo

1507

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nicolas Dalby

oldest →

vs Warlley Alves · Jan 23

KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 23

vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jun 24

KOvs Randy Brown · Apr 25

vs Saygid Izagakhmaev · Nov 25

latest

Muslim Salikhov

oldest →

KOvs Randy Brown · Feb 24

vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24

KOvs Song Kenan · Nov 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Jul 25

KOvs Uros Medic · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nicolas DalbyMetricMuslim Salikhov

3.88

Strikes / min

3.37

3.51

Strikes absorbed / min

2.96

52%

Strike defense

62%

0.90

TDs / 15 min

1.07

59%

Takedown defense

72%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nicolas DalbyMuslim Salikhov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nicolas Dalby(10 fights)Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nicolas DalbyTargetMuslim Salikhov

By target zone

49% acc · 48%

Head

59% acc · 60%

84% acc · 42%

Body

75% acc · 37%

69% acc · 10%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

47% acc · 50%

Distance

60% acc · 82%

88% acc · 42%

Clinch

100% acc · 18%

88% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nicolas Dalby rounds

even

Muslim Salikhov rounds

Round 1Muslim Salikhov edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:07

27Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 2Nicolas Dalby edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control3:21

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 3Nicolas Dalby edged it

Sig. strikes48

Takedowns1

Control3:08

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

86 / 140

Sig Strikes

57 / 88

59.3%

Sig Str %

66.3%

104 / 158

Total Strikes

70 / 101

2 / 5

TDs

2 / 2

41.5%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

6:36

Ctrl Time

0:55

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Muslim Salikhov	27 / 45	27 / 45	1 / 1
1	Nicolas Dalby	21 / 44	22 / 45	0 / 0
2	Muslim Salikhov	10 / 14	18 / 22	1 / 1
2	Nicolas Dalby	17 / 27	24 / 34	1 / 3
3	Muslim Salikhov	20 / 29	25 / 34	0 / 0
3	Nicolas Dalby	48 / 69	58 / 79	1 / 2

Nicolas Dalby

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Muslim Salikhov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14